With the assistance of the Opta supercomputer, we offer our Premier League match predictions for each match in every gameweek.
The Opta supercomputer will probably be with us each step of the best way this season because the projection mannequin works to give you data-backed predictions for all Premier League matches and season outcomes.
In fact, Manchester Metropolis will take some beating with regards to the title race, as Pep Guardiola’s males are chasing a record-extending fifth consecutive top-flight title and are overwhelming favourites to attain that success.
Arsenal are hoping to push Metropolis all the best way, and whereas Liverpool not have Jürgen Klopp on the helm, Arne Slot is now guiding a squad virtually similar to the one which threatened to be an actual challenger till the ultimate weeks of 2023-24.
And little question we’re in retailer for one more extremely aggressive UEFA Champions League qualification battle involving the likes of Aston Villa, Tottenham, Chelsea, Newcastle United and Manchester United.
On the different finish of the desk, Leicester Metropolis, Ipswich City and Southampton are hoping to fare higher than the earlier groups to be promoted from the Championship – all three have been relegated in 2023-24.
Now, all of that may be a little far sooner or later to be given a lot consideration but, however our AI-powered Opta supercomputer proved fairly prescient in 2023-24 and is continuous to make predictions for each fixture this season.
Learn on as Opta Analyst offers its Premier League match predictions for 2024-25, and remember to examine again right here forward of each matchday for the most recent projections.
Matchday 11
The Opta supercomputer has delivered its newest choice of match predictions forward of the subsequent weekend of Premier League soccer in 2024-25.
Our predictive mannequin has made its picks for the upcoming spherical of matches, with the league desk now taking form as we transfer previous the early levels of the season, with Liverpool and Manchester Metropolis setting the tempo and simply two groups left on the backside who’re but to win.
Matchday 11 will see all 10 matches crammed in on Saturday and Sunday, forward of the third worldwide break of the marketing campaign.
Six video games on Saturday embody one other testing away conflict for champions Man Metropolis, this time in opposition to a Brighton & Hove Albion aspect who got here near upsetting Liverpool final week.
There’s additionally an enormous conflict at Anfield as leaders Liverpool tackle Aston Villa, who need to bounce again from their heavy defeat at Spurs.
Manchester United tackle Leicester Metropolis on Sunday earlier than the sport of the week sees Chelsea host under-pressure Arsenal in an enormous London derby.
Forward of what seems to be set to be one other entertaining group of Premier League fixtures, let’s take a look at the Opta supercomputer’s match predictions.
Premier League Predictions Matchweek 11: The Fast Hits
Man Metropolis predicted to bounce again from successive losses to Tottenham, Bournemouth and Sporting CP by incomes an away victory over Brighton.
The Opta supercomputer is anticipating Liverpool to remain high of the Premier League desk with victory over Aston Villa.
Man Utd, Tottenham and West Ham all backed for dwelling victories this week, with a Spurs win being our predictive mannequin’s most assured decide of MD 11.
A late collapse in opposition to Fulham means Brentford (39.8%) may urgently do with a constructive consequence as they host a rampant Bournemouth (35.1%), who’ve overwhelmed each Arsenal and Man Metropolis in current weeks.
Brentford normally fare effectively on this fixture, as they’ve an energetic seven-match unbeaten run in opposition to the Cherries that features 5 victories, whereas Bryan Mbeumo comes into the sport having netted in 5 consecutive dwelling league matches, with seven objectives in complete throughout that span.
Bournemouth’s flagship current wins have come at dwelling, however they’ve gained simply three of their final 22 league away video games in opposition to London sides, with 16 defeats in that run. They’ve additionally conceded a minimum of twice in 17 of these 22 matches.
Dwelling benefit means the Bees go into this recreation as slender favourites in accordance with the Opta prediction mannequin, however this nonetheless seems to be set to be one of many closest matches of the week, with the draw a robust contender at 25.1%.
Crystal Palace will hope to proceed their current momentum after they tackle Fulham in a conflict that has been rated as too near name.
Palace have earned 4 factors of their final two video games and likewise beat Aston Villa within the EFL Cup. Ahead Eddie Nketiah will hope to lastly get off the mark on this recreation, as he has now had extra photographs (17) with out scoring than every other participant within the Premier League this season, though opponents Fulham are unbeaten of their final six London derbies.
Hosts Palace have a win chance of 37.5% with Fulham’s very shut behind at 36.2%, so at 26.3% the draw has a big likelihood of occurring, and that has been the end result in 4 of the final 5 conferences between these two sides.
West Ham have misplaced 5 of their first 10 Premier League matches and want a constructive consequence as they host Everton.
Latest journeys to London haven’t gone too effectively for Everton, who’ve misplaced their final three league away video games within the capital by an combination rating of 12-1. West Ham, in the meantime, have gained their final two at dwelling.
The Hammers go in as favourites at 45.3% with the Opta supercomputer, however they are going to probably want Jarrod Bowen to carry out if they’re to dwell as much as that billing. The England ahead has scored in his final two top-flight dwelling video games for West Ham and has additionally had a hand in 5 objectives in his final six league video games in opposition to Everton, with three objectives and two assists.
Everton’s likelihood of victory will not be fully discounted at 27.9%, and curiously that is the more than likely Premier League fixture to complete as a draw this week, with that likelihood rated at 26.8%.
Wolves stay with no win after the chaotic 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace final outing, however they’ve a very good alternative to get that first victory after they tackle promoted Southampton, in accordance the Opta supercomputer.
The house aspect have a 47.6% likelihood of successful at Molineux, with Saints’ score down at 27.9% and the draw at 24.5%.
In an extra enhance for Wolves followers, Gary O’Neil’s aspect have gained every of their final 5 Premier League video games in opposition to Southampton, their longest successful run in opposition to any opponent within the competitors.
To maintain that going Wolves should discover a solution to tighten up on the again, having conceded a league-high 27 objectives this season. It’s simply the sixth time in competitors historical past {that a} workforce has conceded 27 or extra after 10 Premier League video games.
However Southampton could possibly be very best opponents as Wolves bid to enhance that report, as Saints have scored simply seven league objectives this season, fewer than every other aspect.
The Opta supercomputer likes the probabilities of Manchester Metropolis bouncing again from their shock current losses after they journey to play Brighton within the Saturday early night fixture.
After dropping at dwelling to Spurs within the EFL Cup and Bournemouth within the league final weekend, a heavy UEFA Champions League defeat to Sporting CP on Tuesday was an extra blow to Pep Guardiola’s males. They’ve, nevertheless, a minimum of taken 37 factors from 42 accessible in opposition to Brighton within the Premier League, scoring in all 14 conferences.
Whereas Premier League high scorer Erling Haaland misfired in opposition to Sporting, Phil Foden did discover the goal to succeed in three Champions League objectives for the marketing campaign. However the England star is but to attain within the Premier League this season, his worst goalless run since a 15-game streak that resulted in March 2020. Foden does, although, have extra top-flight objectives in opposition to Brighton (eight) than in opposition to every other opponent.
In-form Brighton attacker Danny Welbeck has the prospect to make it 5 straight Premier League video games with a aim involvement for the primary time in his profession, however his aspect should upset the chances to make an impression, as their win chance is 25.2%, with Man Metropolis up at 51.3%, the very best score given to an away workforce this week.
Leaders Liverpool go into their Saturday night match with Aston Villa at Anfield as complete favourites.
The Reds have stormed as much as 25 factors from their first 10 video games and have 5 wins and one draw from their final six dwelling matches in opposition to Villa, with the system giving them a 61.8% likelihood of successful to increase these sturdy data.
Key to the Reds’ current success has been Mohamed Salah. With seven objectives and 5 assists, no participant has been concerned in additional Premier League objectives this season, whereas Salah has additionally had probably the most touches within the opposition field this time period (96).
A heavy defeat to Spurs final outing means Villa are actually liable to dropping consecutive league matches for the primary time since Might 2023. They’ve an 18.4% likelihood of an upset victory, however to take action they are going to want Ollie Watkins to take his possibilities.
Solely Haaland (16) has had extra large possibilities than Watkins (14) this season, however the England striker has netted simply 4 of them, the bottom conversion price (28.6%) among the many seven gamers to have had 10 or extra such alternatives.
Into Sunday’s fixtures and Ruud van Nistelrooy will probably be concentrating on his first league win as Man Utd interim supervisor in opposition to Leicester Metropolis, the workforce he just lately defeated within the EFL Cup.
United gained that Outdated Trafford conflict 5-2 they usually have additionally scored in every of their final 28 league video games in opposition to Leicester.
The cup conflict noticed Bruno Fernandes get off the mark for this season with a double, and he adopted that up with a penalty within the draw with Chelsea final week. The Man Utd captain has been concerned in eight objectives in seven begins in opposition to Leicester in all competitions, with 4 objectives and 4 assists, so will like his possibilities right here.
United are strongly backed by our predictive mannequin on this one, with a 65.1% win chance in comparison with simply 16.1% for Leicester. The system is simply extra assured in a Spurs win this week than it’s of a United victory.
Nottingham Forest (33.5%) are third within the league after a shocking begin to the season, however they’ll anticipate to be put to the check by Newcastle United (40.8%), who earned a primary win in six top-flight video games by seeing off Arsenal final outing.
The Opta supercomputer narrowly favours the guests, however all three outcomes are given a good likelihood, with the draw rated at 25.7%.
This match will see two in-form strikers do battle. Forest’s Chris Wooden has scored in his final 4 Premier League video games and now has the prospect to make it 5 in a row for the primary time.
Newcastle’s Alexander Isak, in the meantime, has scored three objectives in his two Premier League video games in opposition to Forest, and comes into the sport on a excessive having netted in his final three straight matches throughout all competitions, together with a headed winner in opposition to Arsenal final outing.
Tottenham earned a formidable win over Aston Villa, and the Opta supercomputer has big confidence in them incomes three extra factors in opposition to winless Ipswich City.
With a giant win chance of 74.5%, a Spurs victory is the system’s greatest win prediction throughout the ten matches this week, with Ipswich’s likelihood manner down at 10.5%.
Spurs normally thrive in fixtures like these – they’ve gained 32 of their final 36 Premier League dwelling video games in opposition to promoted sides and have scored a minimum of as soon as in every of their final 42 such matches.
Ipswich, in the meantime, stay winless of their 10 video games this season, their longest run with no win from the beginning of a top-flight marketing campaign. They conceded 4 objectives in each of their final two away video games, dropping 4-1 at West Ham and 4-3 at Brentford, so stopping Spurs seems to be set to be a frightening job.
Chelsea and Arsenal are locked collectively on 18 factors earlier than their crunch conflict at Stamford Bridge.
It has been a troublesome spell for the Gunners, who’ve misplaced three of their final six video games throughout all competitions, together with two straight defeats in opposition to Newcastle within the Premier League and Inter within the Champions League.
Chelsea are hardly flying both, with just one win of their final 4 league video games and a current cup exit at Newcastle. The Blues have solely overwhelmed Arsenal as soon as of their final 9 Premier League makes an attempt, dropping six of these video games, with the Gunners successful on three of their final 4 journeys to Stamford Bridge, as many victories as that they had managed of their earlier 20 visits mixed.
As is usually the case in matches involving these sides, the performances of Cole Palmer and Bukayo Saka are more likely to show key.
No participant has extra aim involvements than Palmer (12, with seven objectives and 5 assists) this season, whereas he has additionally created probably the most possibilities from open play this time period (24). Palmer scored his first ever Premier League aim at Stamford Bridge on this actual fixture final season, and from that time he has scored extra dwelling objectives (21) than every other participant.
Saka, in the meantime, has offered a league-leading seven assists and has both scored or assisted a aim for Arsenal in every of his final three away video games in opposition to Chelsea within the Premier League.
Arsenal are given probably the most marginal edge at a 39.2% win chance, however meaning the system is assured Chelsea can get a minimum of one thing out of the sport to increase the Gunners’ sticky patch, because the Blues’ victory likelihood is rated at 34.4% and the draw is at 26.4%.
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