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Home NBA

Will this season's NBA champion be the healthiest (and last) team standing?

May 15, 2025
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Will this season's NBA champion be the healthiest (and last) team standing?


The Bounce E-newsletter  | That is The Athletic’s each day NBA publication. Enroll right here to obtain The Bounce instantly in your inbox.

Luke Kornet had 10 factors, 9 rebounds and 7 blocked photographs off the bench for the Celtics final evening in Boston’s win. At one level, my pal Ian threw “The Charlotte Kornets” into the group chat and demanded I put that in The Bounce. I’m a fantastic pal. Go watch his one-hour particular.

Well being Meter ♥️

Ought to finals predictions be based mostly on well being?

Sadly, well being turns into a significant speaking level of any NBA postseason. We’re not even by means of the second spherical of those playoffs, and we’ve misplaced Damian Lillard and Jayson Tatum to Achilles tears, seen the Cavaliers miss key starters for video games earlier than their elimination and lamented Steph Curry’s hamstring making us watch too many Brandin Podziemski bounce photographs. That’s the playoffs, although. Typically, it’s nearly which crew can keep essentially the most well being to get to the end line.

Of the groups we’ve left, can we devise a well being meter to determine which is headed towards being the healthiest of all of them? And with that information, discern which groups would possibly discover themselves with the very best likelihood to win the championship? First, we have to determine how one can make that well being meter.

The factor I consider after I hear “well being meter” is a online game. A number of video video games both have a bar of well being or an rising/lowering variety of hearts. Let’s go along with hearts for ours as a result of the bar factor is simply going to be annoying to strive to determine. We’ll set the center counter at 10 of those ♥️s, form of like a “Legend of Zelda” well being bar, for the collective crew.

For every star or vital participant who has suffered season-ending accidents, we’ll take away two ♥️s.
For these gamers who’ve missed a recreation or a number of video games with accidents within the postseason, we’ll take away one ♥️. (Not for every recreation.) That might be knocked all the way down to a half-heart relying on damage kind and which spherical.
If a participant has been battling one thing that has effects on play, like an ankle or shoulder downside, however they’re probably not lacking time, we’ll take away a half.
It’s a little bit subjective, however did you actually anticipate anything from me?

We have now the Celtics, Knicks, Pacers, Timberwolves, Nuggets and Thunder left on this postseason. Let’s determine which groups are the healthiest, and if that does something for his or her future title probabilities:

Jap Convention

Celtics | Down 3-2 within the second spherical

Season-ending: Jayson Tatum (Achilles).
Missed video games: Jrue Vacation (hamstring) missed three video games.
Battling accidents: Kristaps Porziņģis (sickness).
Well being Meter:

The devastating information about Tatum’s damage positively hurts them proper now and subsequent season. Vacation missed video games with the hamstring pressure within the first spherical, and it hasn’t affected him an excessive amount of on this collection. Porziņģis continues to wrestle with respiration, and this sickness that gained’t go away. For sure, the Celtics gained’t have their finest participant the remainder of the best way, and that lowers their well being meter considerably.

Knicks | Up 3-2 within the second spherical

Season-ending: None.
Missed video games: None.
Battling accidents: Jalen Brunson (ankle).
Well being Meter:

In a stunning flip of occasions, Tom Thibodeau’s Knicks are extraordinarily wholesome, apart from Brunson persevering with to take care of a sore ankle from when he turned it in opposition to Detroit. He retains tweaking it right here and there, however that’s just about it. Josh Hart simply bought his eyebrow cut up open, however we’re not counting that.

Pacers | Within the convention finals

Season-ending: None.
Missed video games: Bennedict Mathurin (belly bruise) missed one recreation. Ben Sheppard (toe) missed two video games.
Battling accidents: None
Well being Meter:

No offense to Isaiah Jackson, who is out for the yr — however he’s been out since early November. The Pacers have managed to interchange their backup massive man sufficient to make up for it in that point. Mathurin and Sheppard each missed early sufficient within the first spherical that this crew feels very wholesome in its pursuit of the NBA Finals.

Total, it seems to be like we’re getting the Knicks and the Pacers within the Jap Convention finals if the Knicks can win certainly one of their subsequent two video games in opposition to Boston. That is smart with them being the 2 healthiest groups. As New York followers keep in mind, the Knicks might want to keep wholesome in the event that they need to take down a good higher Pacers crew this time.

Western Convention

Nuggets | Down 3-2 within the second spherical

Season-ending: None.
Missed video games: Russell Westbrook (foot) missed one recreation.
Battling accidents: Jamal Murray (hamstring), Michael Porter Jr. (shoulder).
Well being Meter:

There may be nonetheless purpose to be involved about Murray’s legs always, and Porter appears incapable of being dependable along with his injured shoulder proper now. He’s gutting it out by enjoying, however you by no means know if he’ll truly be capable of contribute. No less than they’ve Nikola Jokić.

Thunder | Up 3-2 within the second spherical

Season-ending: None.
Missed video games: None.
Battling accidents: None.
Well being Meter:

The 68-win Thunder have been fully wholesome for some time. They’ve had bumps and bruises, however no one is lacking video games. Even Chet Holmgren has stayed wholesome. This crew seems to be in prime kind on the proper time.

Timberwolves | Within the convention finals

Season-ending: None.
Missed video games: None.
Battling accidents: Anthony Edwards (ankle).
Well being Meter:

The Wolves are virtually fully wholesome, besides Edwards nonetheless doesn’t appear fully tremendous from the ankle damage from the Lakers collection he’s tweaked a pair occasions. We’re nonetheless not seeing the constant explosiveness and ending across the rim from him but. However he has a while to relaxation now.

Total, the Wolves have time to be fully wholesome earlier than they attempt to make their first NBA Finals. And so they’ll both face a mildly banged-up Denver crew with little depth and nagging accidents to 2 key gamers however not the kaiju within the center all people fears, or they’ll face a deep, pristinely wholesome Thunder squad able to go. It seems to be like well being is usually shining in each conferences proper now. Simply examine the meters!

The Final 24

Cooper Flagg couldn’t consider the lottery both

😱 Lottery response. What was Cooper Flagg’s response to the Mavs getting No. 1? About like yours.

🏀 Now what? The Cavaliers had one other early postseason exit. The place do they go from right here?

🏀 Born in it. Nuggets coach David Adelman grew up round a reasonably necessary NBA affect: His Corridor of Fame coach dad, Rick Adelman. 

🏀 New alternatives. Tatum’s damage for Boston has a big effect. The East is now vast open. 

🎧 Tuning in. Right now’s “NBA Day by day” examines Jimmy Butler’s influence for the Warriors as they face the offseason.

The Basketball 100

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The story of the best gamers in NBA historical past. In 100 riveting profiles, prime basketball writers justify their choices and uncover the historical past of the NBA within the course of.

The story of the best gamers in NBA historical past.

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Will Taking pictures Journey?

Celtics should migrate 3-point capturing to MSG

Even with out Jayson Tatum, the Celtics are nonetheless a harmful crew — particularly at house. That they had their backs in opposition to the wall heading into Sport 5, needing a victory to maintain their title protection alive. And whereas all people exterior of Massachusetts or the Celtics fan base is engraving the tombstone for his or her season, Boston nonetheless thinks it may well win this collection. We noticed that confidence final evening with a monster second-half efficiency to gas the 127-102 victory.

Boston used a 32-17 third quarter to seize management of the sport after which a 36-26 fourth quarter to verify the Knicks weren’t feeling frisky with some form of comeback. The celebrities of that third-quarter dominance? Yep, you guessed it. Frank Stallone Derrick White and Luke Kornet. After a 19-point first half, White dropped 13 factors within the third quarter, with seven of them coming on the free-throw line. The Celtics bought the Knicks into foul hassle early and shot 18 free throws in that quarter alone.

As for Kornet, he seemed like Hakeem Olajuwon on the market. No, I imply he actually seemed like Olajuwon. And Dwight Howard. And Serge Ibaka and JaVale McGee. Kornet joined these 4 gamers as the one guys since 1997 to have 5 or extra rebounds and 5 or extra blocks in a playoff quarter. He began for Kristaps Porziņģis within the quarter and dominated your entire interval.

The Celtics hit 22-of-49 from 3-point vary within the recreation. It was paying homage to their Sport 3 win at Madison Sq. Backyard after they made 20-of-40 from deep. Within the common season, they shot 19-of-39 from deep and 19-of-49 from downtown of their two wins in New York. They’re going to need to mimic all of that capturing in an effort to drive a Sport 7, and, even then, they need to hope the Knicks don’t carry it like they did in Sport 4.

Possibly placing that strain on New York can get them to second-guess themselves and start to crumble, however this additionally appears like a special Knicks crew than what we’re used to.

The Golden Wolves

Minnesota sends Warriors to summer time

We dwell in a world the place the Timberwolves have now superior to back-to-back Western Convention finals. We additionally dwell in a world the place Julius Randle has fully turned his profession and repute round within the final two months by enjoying the very best basketball we’ve ever seen from him — even higher than the 2 occasions he made All-NBA. And we dwell in a world the place the Warriors didn’t get an opportunity to see if their trade-deadline acquisition of Jimmy Butler may truly matter sufficient within the postseason to get Steph Curry and Draymond Inexperienced a fifth ring.

This was presupposed to be a fantastic collection. As a substitute, Curry’s hamstring strained within the first half of Sport 1, and we solely noticed him in road garments on the sidelines the remainder of the best way. It could not have mattered anyway. This Wolves crew is not any joke, they usually’re ok to win a championship. However with out Curry on the courtroom, it turned destined that the Wolves would clinch their golden period of existence. Granted, that’s a low bar to clear, however they kicked that door off the hinges like Charlie Murphy kicked Rick James.

Minnesota gained, 121-110, regardless of turning the ball over 20 occasions, as a result of they dominated each different aspect of the sport. That’s what they need to do in opposition to an overmatched, wounded crew. However that additionally gained’t be ok to advance to the place this crew has by no means been earlier than, irrespective of whom they face within the subsequent spherical. They’ve to scrub issues up.

As for the Warriors, they enter the summer time hoping so as to add exterior capturing to area the ground, possibly an enormous physique, and determining what Jonathan Kuminga’s restricted free company and standing with the crew needs to be. They ask Father Time to indicate mercy for only one yr, and see if Butler can see a wholesome Curry within the subsequent postseason.

📬 Love The Bounce? Try The Athletic’s different newsletters.

Streaming hyperlinks on this article are supplied by companions of The Athletic. Restrictions could apply. The Athletic maintains full editorial independence. Companions don’t have any management over or enter into the reporting or modifying course of and don’t overview tales earlier than publication.

(High picture: Picture: Jesse Johnson / USA Right now Community by way of Imagn Photos )



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