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Home MLB

Here are the toughest Rule 5 decisions for each organization

November 18, 2025
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Here are the toughest Rule 5 decisions for each organization


The deadline for including gamers to 40-man rosters is approaching. Groups have till 6 p.m. ET on Tuesday to guard them from the Rule 5 Draft, which is able to happen Dec. 10 on the Winter Conferences in Orlando, Fla.

Six Prime 100 prospects can be eligible for Rule 5 choice. Nevertheless it’s a no brainer for his or her golf equipment to guard Phillies right-hander Andrew Painter (No. 16), Guardians shortstop Angel Genao (No. 59), Marlins catcher Joe Mack (No. 70), Cardinals catcher Leonard Bernal (No. 92) and Yankees righty Elmer RodrĆ­guez (No. 97) and outfielder Spencer Jones (No. 99).

Different roster choices shall be tougher, although. Beneath we determine one participant on the 40-man bubble from each group.

Blue Jays: Victor Arias, OF (No. 9)It’s taken Arias a short while to get going, spending two summers within the Rookie-level Dominican Summer season League and never gaining a lot traction till 2024, when he posted an OPS of .833 throughout two ranges of A ball. He obtained off to a sizzling begin again with Excessive-A Vancouver to begin 2025, however managed only a .624 OPS in 33 Double-A video games. There’s upside right here, however he is likely to be too far-off to have to fret about defending him right now.

Orioles: Creed Willems, C/1B (unranked)Willems has hung out on the Prime 30 prior to now, getting knocked off following the 2025 Draft and all of the offers the O’s made on the Commerce Deadline. He’s a left-handed bat who makes a ton of contact and there’s some thump in there (16 homers in 2025), and he even threw out 28 p.c of potential basestealers behind the dish. Nevertheless it’s unclear whether or not he can stick on the place and there’s a logjam at catcher/first base in Baltimore.

Rays: Jadher Areinamo, INF (No. 24)Acquired by the Rays from the Brewers within the deadline deal for Danny Jansen, Areinamo has at all times made a ton of contact (12.2 p.c profession strikeout fee), however with that has come a bent to increase the zone (34 p.c chase fee in 2025, in keeping with Synergy). He can play three infield positions, with second maybe his finest, so groups may very well be serious about him as a utility sort come Rule 5 time. The actual fact he’s going off within the Venezuelan Winter League (.313/.363/.639 in 21 video games) may power the Rays’ palms.

Pink Sox: Miguel Bleis, OF (No. 15)Bleis is a middle fielder with among the finest all-around instruments within the system (plus uncooked energy, velocity and arm energy) however little constant manufacturing in full-season ball. Signed for the most important bonus ($1.5 million) in Boston’s 2020-21 worldwide class, the Dominican native slashed .222/.300/.385 with 14 homers and 27 steals in 107 video games between Excessive-A and Double-A.

Yankees: Harrison Cohen, RHP (No. 30)On one hand, Cohen is a 26-year-old former nondrafted free agent out of George Washington with an abnormal low-90s fastball. On the opposite, his mid-80s slider and barely more durable cutter have been unhittable, and he logged a 1.76 ERA, .151 average-against and 59 strikeouts in 51 innings between Double-A and Triple-A.

Guardians: Wuilfredo Antunez, OF (unranked)Signed for simply $10,000 out of Venezuela in 2019, Antunez has strong uncooked energy, velocity and arm energy. He slashed .275/.335/.521 with 18 homers and 16 steals in 101 video games between Excessive-A and Double-A, and he homered twice in two Arizona Fall League video games earlier than getting shut down with tendinitis in his proper shoulder.

Royals: Gavin Cross, OF (No. 24)This isn’t what the Royals had in thoughts after they took Cross with the No. 9 total choose within the 2022 Draft. He spent his second straight yr at Double-A and has a profession .747 OPS to go together with a strikeout fee round 26 p.c. It stays to be seen whether or not his sizzling July and August this previous yr (.301/.370/.528) supplied sufficient hope to earn him a roster spot.

Tigers: Jake Miller, LHP (No. 19)Miller had an enormous breakout season in 2024, pitching his method from Single-A Lakeland to Double-A Erie whereas lacking a ton of bats, then posting a 24/3 Ok/BB ratio within the Arizona Fall League, although he did get hit. He was given an opportunity to begin in 2025 and commenced nicely, however a again harm restricted him to twenty whole innings and a deliberate return engagement within the AFL was scrapped, making it harder to make a roster name.

Twins: Jose Olivares, RHP (No. 24)There’s quite a bit to love stuff-wise with Olivares, together with a fastball that sat at 95 mph in 2025 and an assortment of secondary choices that miss bats (10.7 Ok/9 fee final yr) and make him powerful to hit (.202 BAA). However he additionally walked 5.7 per 9 and has but to pitch above Excessive-A ball. A model-driven group is likely to be as a result of the stuff performs, however the lack of command makes him harder to guard.

White Sox: Shane Murphy, LHP (unranked)The youthful brother of former massive league pitcher Patrick Murphy, Shane led the Minors in WHIP (0.89) and ERA (1.66) whereas compiling a .199 average-against and a 104/25 Ok/BB ratio in 135 1/3 innings whereas advancing from Excessive-A to Triple-A. The 14th-rounder in 2022 out of Chandler-Gilbert (Ariz.) CC stands out extra along with his efficiency than his stuff, working with a fastball that sits slightly below 90 mph (albeit with good carry) and a mid-80s changeup as his main secondary pitch.

Angels: Walbert Urena, RHP (No. 24)On the one hand, Urena logged 141 innings and touched Triple-A, relying closely on a fastball that touched 102 mph in 2025. On the opposite, he struck out simply eight per 9 and walked 4.7 with no true secondary out pitch (His changeup is his finest). A group may roll the cube and check out him in a bullpen.

Astros: Michael Knorr, RHP (unranked)A 2022 third-round choose from Coastal Carolina, Knorr had hassle holding up as a starter in his first two full professional seasons however stayed wholesome as a reliever this yr. He logged a 5.03 ERA with 66 strikeouts in 53 2/3 innings between Double-A and Triple-A, displaying a mid-90s fastball that reached 98 mph and a pointy mid-70s curveball.

A’s: Junior Perez, OF (unranked)Perez has teased, particularly with energy potential, ever for the reason that A’s obtained him from the Padres within the 2020 Jorge Mateo deal. In 2025, he obtained to it, hammering 26 homers whereas stealing 27 bases and enjoying much more heart subject than folks anticipated prior to now. Numerous these numbers got here when he moved as much as hitting-friendly Las Vegas within the Pacific Coast League and he nonetheless struck out 28.1 p.c of the time.

Mariners: Michael Morales, RHP (No. 18)The Mariners invested $1.5 million in Morales as their third-round choose in 2021 and there may very well be incentive to guard that funding. Whereas outcomes have been combined, he’s topped 100 innings in every of his 4 full seasons and he does throw strikes with as many as 5 pitches. However the velocity and stuff haven’t come as hoped, with Double-A opponents hitting .311 off his 91-92 mph heater.

Rangers: Brock Porter, RHP (unranked)Ranked the highest highschool pitcher within the 2022 Draft, Porter signed for a fourth-round-record $3.7 million, however his management fully fell aside in 2024. He made strides this season however nonetheless walked 40 in 68 1/3 innings between two Class A stops whereas posting a 3.03 ERA, a .183 average-against and 79 strikeouts. His fastball parks at 92-95 mph and his energetic low-80s changeup is his finest weapon.

Braves: Ian Mejia, RHP (No. 19)The Braves nabbed Mejia as an Eleventh-round select of New Mexico State in 2022 and he’s coming off an excellent yr, spent virtually fully with Double-A Mississippi, wherein he completed third within the Southern League in ERA (2.62) and WHIP (1.06). He’s additionally topped 120 innings in every of his three seasons, however he doesn’t miss a ton of bats and throws his slider greater than his fringy fastball, giving him a decrease ceiling.

Marlins: Andrew Pintar, OF (unranked)A part of the A.J. Puk cope with the Diamondbacks on the 2024 Commerce Deadline, Pintar is a top quality center-field defender with plus velocity however not an enormous offensive ceiling. He batted .269/.338/.384 with 4 homers and 23 steals in 84 video games at Triple-A.

Mets: Nick Morabito, OF (No. 16)Morabito is a uncommon 2022 highschool draftee who’s Rule 5-eligible as a result of he was 19 on the time of the Draft. He can actually run with 108 steals over his previous two seasons and is an excellent outfielder, however the impression is in query (.389 profession SLG). A robust Fall League marketing campaign (.362 common, 16 steals) may assist his case.

Nationals: Tyler Stuart, RHP (No. 28)Stuart led the Minors with a 2.20 ERA in 2023 and went from the Mets to the Nationals in change for Jesse Winker on the 2024 Commerce Deadline. He battled elbow points for a lot of 2025 earlier than having Tommy John surgical procedure in August, which figures to sideline him for all of subsequent season. When wholesome, he leans closely on an 82-85 mph slider that he units up with a 92-95 mph sinker.

Phillies: Alex McFarlane, RHP (No. 20)Groups serious about McFarlane within the Rule 5 Draft will definitely take a look at his premium fastball that touches triple digits and his capacity to overlook bats with that and his slider (10.6 Ok/9 fee in his profession). However he additionally has walked 5.5 per 9 and posted a 4.84 ERA whereas reaching Double-A in 2025. The bullpen is nearly definitely in his future whether or not or not he stays a Phillie.

Brewers: Blake Holub, RHP (unranked)Acquired from the Tigers in November 2023 in a straight-up swap for Mark Canha, the 6-foot-6 right-hander first reached Triple-A Nashville in 2024 and posted a 3.70 ERA with 53 strikeouts and 31 walks in 41ā…“ innings. He’s a two-pitch reliever with a 93-95 mph cutter and a 84-86 mph slider, every of which had whiff charges of 29-30 p.c in ā€˜25. Holub comes with almost 7 toes of extension and generates a ton of floor balls (50.5 p.c final season), which may curiosity some Rule 5 golf equipment, however would want to throw extra strikes to suit instantly into an MLB bullpen. (Milwaukee already added its solely Rule 5-eligible ranked prospect to the 40-man in righty Coleman Crow.)

Cardinals: Pete Hansen, LHP (unranked)Hansen cannot push his fastball previous 92 mph, however he successfully mixes three secondary pitches (low-80s changeup and slider, mid-70s curveball) and throws strikes. The 2022 third-rounder from Texas compiled a 3.93 ERA and a 123/37 Ok/BB ratio in 137 1/3 innings at Double-A.

Cubs: Connor Noland, RHP (No. 22)Noland’s two- and four-seam fastballs do not prime 92 mph, so he employs a kitchen-sink method and mixes six pitches, with solely his low-80s slider grading as higher than common. A former quarterback at Arkansas who went in 2022’s ninth spherical, he logged a 4.07 ERA with 115 strikeouts in 132 2/3 Triple-A innings.

Pirates: Jack Brannigan 3B/SS (No. 21)This one leans extra closely towards the ā€œnot defendā€ column as Brannigan suffered a torn labrum that required surgical procedure in his throwing shoulder limiting him to 59 largely unproductive video games at Double-A. However there may be some energy and velocity in there (37 homers and 38 steals mixed in 2023-24) and it’s doable some groups would have curiosity as a result of he provides glorious protection at third and quick, and will slide over to second if wanted.

Reds: Leo Balcazar, SS/2B (No. 23)Signed in January 2021 for simply $100,000, Balcazar has continued to point out enchancment as he’s moved up the ladder. Groups in search of utility assist may like how regular he’s at each center infield positions, and he confirmed he can deal with third throughout his Fall League stint. He’s improved slowly offensively with 12 homers total and reached Double-A for the primary time, however there isn’t a ton of impression or ceiling right here. He’s a strong participant with no carrying instrument.

Diamondbacks: Dylan Ray, RHP (unranked)Ray obtained the job carried out at Double-A (3.93 ERA, 53/17 Ok/BB ratio in 50 1/3 innings) however obtained rocked in Triple-A (6.30 ERA, 70/38 Ok/BB ratio in 90 frames). A 2022 fourth-round select of Alabama, he operates with a 92-94 mph fastball and his mid-80s slider and changeup are his simplest choices.

Dodgers: Noah Miller, SS (No. 25)The youthful brother of Owen Miller and a 2021 supplemental first-round choose by the Twins, Miller joined the Dodgers in a February 2024 deal for Manuel Margot and infield prospect Rayne Doncon. He has emerged as the most effective defensive shortstops within the Minors however would not make a lot impression on the plate, slashing .260/.303/.362 in 94 video games, principally at Triple-A.

Giants: Gerelmi Maldonado, RHP (No. 23)Signed for $145,600 out of Venezuela in 2021, Maldonado can attain 101 mph with late life on his fastball and may overpower hitters with a sweeping 82-85 mph slider as nicely. Tommy John surgical procedure in December 2023 price him all the following season and means he hasn’t progressed previous Single-A, the place he recorded a 3.97 ERA with 69 strikeouts in 59 innings this yr.

Padres: Garrett Hawkins, RHP (No. 19)A 2021 ninth-rounder out of British Columbia, Hawkins makes use of a misleading excessive arm slot to unleash 92-95 mph fastballs and 79-81 sweepers. He additionally creates high quality extension, which enabled him to rank third amongst Minor League pitchers with no less than 60 innings in ERA (1.50) and average-against (.138) whereas whiffing 80 in 60 frames between Excessive-A and Double-A.

Rockies: Sterlin Thompson, OF (No. 15)Usually a man who posts a .911 in his first yr at Triple-A can be a slam dunk to get a roster spot, and that very nicely may transpire. Thompson’s numbers have been higher within the Albuquerque launching pad (.946 OPS), however he was productive on the street as nicely (.848). The outfield scene may very well be actually crowded, although, and we don’t know but what course new president of baseball operations Paul DePodesta will wish to head in.



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