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Home MMA

Natalia Silva Opens as Heavy Favorite Against Rose Namajunas at UFC 324

January 20, 2026
in MMA
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Natalia Silva Opens as Heavy Favorite Against Rose Namajunas at UFC 324


UFC 324 brings a key girls’s flyweight bout to T-Cellular Area in Las Vegas on January 24, with fast-rising contender Natália Silva assembly former two-time strawweight champion Rose Namajunas in what profiles as an unofficial title eliminator at 125 kilos.​

Rose Namajunas vs. Natália Silva Odds

The moneyline tells a transparent story. Offshore openers had Silva a modest favourite round -150 with Namajunas +130. As betting limits elevated, sharp motion drove Silva into -400, with Namajunas round +300. Others checklist Silva even steeper at -450 with Namajunas +300, whereas some market present main books clustering within the -380 to -410 vary for Silva and +310 to +340 for Namajunas.



Technique-of-victory markets lean strongly towards an extended combat selected the playing cards. Silva by choice is essentially listed at +150, a quantity that suggests roughly a 40 p.c likelihood she wins particularly on the scorecards versus about an 80 p.c implied likelihood she wins by any methodology at -400.

That view strains up with Silva’s latest run: in opposition to top-tier opposition equivalent to Jessica Andrade and Alexa Grasso, she received clear unanimous selections slightly than chasing dangerous finishes over three rounds.

Silva enters on a 13-fight successful streak and an ideal 7-0 UFC file, with 5 knockouts and 7 submissions total, however her latest climb into competition has been constructed on output and management slightly than fixed finishes. She averages round 5 important strikes landed per minute in opposition to considerably decrease absorption, makes use of long-range kicking and stance switches, and has shut down the majority of takedown makes an attempt she has confronted.

Namajunas brings the résumé benefit and the extra established title. A former two-time strawweight champion, she has collected wins over Joanna Jędrzejczyk, Zhang Weili and Jessica Andrade at 115 kilos, and her transfer to flyweight has produced choice victories over Amanda Ribas, Tracy Cortez and Miranda Maverick, offset by losses to Manon Fiorot and Erin Blanchfield. At 125 she has leaned on technical boxing, footwork and opportunistic takedowns greater than uncooked ending, going the gap in all 5 of her latest flyweight bouts.

Taken collectively, the chances and props body UFC 324’s Silva vs. Namajunas matchup as a high-level, three-round putting battle through which Silva is anticipated to hold the initiative and quantity, with the commonest betting place projecting a Silva choice and Namajunas needing both a near-perfect tactical efficiency on the playing cards or a late grappling breakthrough to upset the numbers.



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Tags: favoriteHEAVYnamajunasNataliaopensRoseSilvaUFC
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