What each Euro 2024 team needs to reach the knockout rounds

There’s nonetheless lots on the road as Euro 2024 enters its last spherical of group-stage matches.

Solely Spain and Portugal are assured of ending prime of their quartets, whereas Poland is the one aspect formally eradicated from the event. That leaves 21 groups who’ve but to find out their destiny; host Germany is thru to the subsequent spherical, however its last place in Group A continues to be undetermined.

The group-stage finales run Sunday by means of Wednesday. Earlier than we delve into the permutations for every group, we’ll element the essential and sometimes merciless tiebreakers for groups that end stage on factors.

Tiebreakers

The tiebreakers are simpler to deal with as a result of there is not any attainable state of affairs the place three out of 4 groups are stage on factors as soon as their group is completed, so we will reduce that arduous fourth step.

That leaves the tie-breaking standards as:

Head-to-head factors
Head-to-head objective distinction
Head-to-head targets scored
The tough three-team tiebreaker guidelines
Objective distinction in group
Complete targets scored
Penalty shootout (if the 2 groups stage on factors are taking part in one another in the course of the group finale)
Fewest disciplinary factors (a yellow card is one level, three factors for a direct pink or two yellows, 4 factors for a yellow adopted by a direct pink)
General rating from European qualifiers

Group A

Remaining day: June 23 at 3:00 p.m. ET

Switzerland vs. Germany
Scotland vs. Hungary

Germany is already by means of to the spherical of 16. It will advance in first place with a win or draw, however the host nation will give up prime spot to Switzerland if it loses. For Scotland to pinch second place, Steve Clarke’s males have to win whereas Switzerland loses, and there must be a seven-goal swing (Scotland successful 3-0 and Switzerland shedding 4-0, for instance) for the Scots to safe a superior objective distinction to the Swiss. A draw is not sufficient for Scotland. Hungary is just about lifeless and buried – even a win is unlikely to be sufficient as a result of it additionally wants to enhance its depressing objective distinction to have any likelihood of qualifying as one of many 4 greatest third-placed finishers.

Group B

Remaining day: June 24 at 3:00 p.m. ET

Albania vs. Spain
Croatia vs. Italy

First place already belongs to Spain. A draw is not sufficient for Albania or Croatia to emerge from Group B, however each needs to be assured that 4 factors from three matches will ship them by means of from second or third place. If Albania and Croatia win, the latter should win handsomely to beat the previous’s goal-difference benefit. Italy is thru with a win or draw. However defeat leaves the Euro 2020 winner with a nervy wait to search out out if it is among the many greatest third-placed finishers or, if Albania wins, will get the ignominy of being rooted to the underside of the quartet.

Group C

Remaining day: June 25 at 3:00 p.m. ET

Denmark vs. Serbia
England vs. Slovenia

With 4 factors already to its identify, England is virtually by means of even when it drops to 3rd place. England finishes atop Group C with a win. Denmark and Slovenia take the highest two spots with wins; if their objective distinction stays stage, it is as much as disciplinary factors (at present stage) after which qualification rating (benefit to Denmark) to find out their order. The identical tiebreakers decide second place if Denmark and Slovenia each draw. Serbia should win to ebook its passage to the knockout rounds in both second spot or (except leads to different teams go wildly in opposition to Dragan Stojkovic’s aspect) as top-of-the-line third-placed finishers.

Group D

Remaining day: June 25 at 12:00 p.m. ET

France vs. Poland
Netherlands vs. Austria

The Netherlands has a slight benefit within the race for first as a result of it is scored yet another objective (targets scored is the tiebreaker that follows objective distinction) than France. If each groups draw however France scores yet another objective (France 2-2 Poland and Netherlands 1-1 Austria, for instance), it goes right down to disciplinary factors (at present stage) after which qualification rating (benefit to France). Austria is attempting to gate-crash the occasion in first and second and is assured a kind of locations with a win. An Austria draw must also be sufficient for it to be a greatest third-placed staff. Poland was the primary nation to be eradicated from Euro 2024.

Group E

Remaining day: June 26 at 12:00 p.m. ET

Slovakia vs. Romania
Ukraine vs. Belgium

It is the primary time within the historical past of the Euros that 4 groups are on equal factors after two matches apiece. Every staff can qualify with a win. Belgium will get first if it wins and Slovakia would not, Slovakia will get first if it wins and Ukraine would not, Ukraine will get first if it wins and Romania would not, and Romania will get first if it wins and Belgium would not. If each matches are drawn, Romania would end first except Belgium scored extra targets in its draw with Ukraine (Slovakia 1-1 Romania and Ukraine 2-2 Belgium, for instance), Slovakia would have a powerful likelihood of getting into the final 16 as a greatest third-placed finisher, and Ukraine would log out backside of Group E. Good and simple, then.

Group F

Remaining day: June 26 at 3:00 p.m. ET

Georgia vs. Portugal
Czechia vs. Turkey

Portugal beat Turkey on Saturday, which means it wins the head-to-head file between the highest two and, due to this fact, has first place sewn up. Turkey finishes second with a win or draw, however a loss sends it into the most effective third-placed groups lottery or condemns it to the underside of Group F. Czechia and Georgia will count on to advance in second place or as top-of-the-line third-placed finishers with a win. Objective distinction at present favors Czechia in a tiebreaker with Georgia.