The PGA Tour continues its Florida Swing with a bang this week as gamers will descend upon Bay Hill Membership & Lodge for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
This would be the fourth Signature Occasion of the PGA Tour season, bringing with it the elevated $20,000,000 purse and extra FedEx Cup factors.
Granted, that is a kind of tournaments that doesn’t want incentive to attract among the best fields of the season.
Lots of the world’s high gamers together with Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy will tee it up in the hunt for one other win.
So, let’s get to the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, predictions and make a choose.
Arnold Palmer Invitational odds
The sector at Arnie’s Place is about as stacked as you will get. Listed here are the present odds, per DraftKings:
Scottie Scheffler +650
Rory McIlroy +850
Viktor Hovland +1600
Xander Schauffele +1800
Patrick Cantlay +1800
Ludvig Aberg +2000
Collin Morikawa +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2500
Jordan Spieth +2500
Sam Burns +2800
Max Homa +2800
Cameron Younger +2800
Justin Thomas +2800
Matt Fitzpatrick +3000
As you possibly can see, it’s a who’s who of the PGA Tour. That makes deciding on a winner a troublesome endeavor. Nevertheless, there are some keys to be checked out.
Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions
Bay Hill Membership & Lodge is definitely some of the troublesome programs on the PGA Tour yearly. After there have been adjustments made across the greens 5 years in the past, this course has ranked high 5 most troublesome every season by way of scoring.
However what does that imply?
Effectively, let’s break it down.
Rory McIlroy matches the course to supply worth, however to not win
The course will play simply over 7,400 yards. That’s fairly the observe and can clearly give gamers who’re lengthy off the tee considerably of a bonus.
Nevertheless, the tough beside the green is, in some spots, three inches thick. That locations a premium not simply on driving it far, however driving it precisely.
Everybody is aware of that McIlroy is a bomber off the tee. However up to now this yr, he has additionally been lethal correct, rating 14th on tour at over 68% of fairways hit.
I don’t suppose his brief sport will probably be sturdy sufficient to hold him to a win. In any case, Bay Hill is infamous for its wild inexperienced complexes and Rory ranks 132nd in putts per spherical this yr.
However he ought to be capable to place himself effectively sufficient off the tee that he will probably be in competition into the weekend.
For that purpose, I really like McIlroy and his -110 odds of a Prime-10 end. You get even cash minus the juice on a observe he has carried out very effectively at traditionally.
Cameron Younger primed for a breakout efficiency
One other actually attention-grabbing guess is Cameron Younger to complete Prime-5. You’ll get +500 for a participant whose sport seems to be in high kind proper now.
Younger completed T4 on the Cognizant Traditional, T16 on the Genesis Invitational and T8 on the Phoenix Open his final three tournaments.
This course has been the third most predictive based mostly on previous performances on tour, per the New York Occasions.
Effectively, Younger has completed inside the highest 13 every of the 2 occasions he has performed right here earlier than.
This course exams each facet of your sport. If there’s a obvious weak point, Bay Hill will discover it. But, Younger is center of the pack or higher in practically each statistical class this yr.
To get 5-to-1 odds that he finishes Prime-5 right here, I like that guess.
Arnold Palmer Invitational lengthy shot
If you’re in search of some actually lengthy odds, look no additional than Min Woo Lee.
He’s fairly clearly a budding star on tour and presents +4000 odds to win the event
Contemplating all the lengthy pictures which have gained this yr, that’s a stable value for somebody as proficient as Lee.
It’s not a matter of if he breaks out, however when.
Lee completed his 2023 sturdy, amassing three Prime-10s in his remaining 5 begins. He then completed T2 final week on the Cognizant.
Perhaps that is his time to shine, and put Staff USA’s Presidents Cup workforce on discover.
Arnold Palmer Invitational choose
Talking of breakout stars, I’m going to choose Ludvig Aberg to win at Arnie’s Place.
Aberg is each lengthy off the tee and correct. His brief sport has vastly improved in such a brief period of time and the 24-year-old has proven a propensity for taking part in huge in huge moments.
Simply ask Staff USA’s Ryder Cup workforce who he helped emphatically embarrass.
He completed his 2023 season on hearth, amassing three Prime-5s and 5 straight Prime-15s to shut out the yr. That features a win on the RSM Traditional, one other course within the Southeast U.S. that makes use of Bermuda grass.
He has continued that momentum into this yr and practically gained once more at Pebble Seashore.
Aberg is presently going off at +2000. You’re telling me that I get 20-to-1 odds that this child’s ascent continues at a spot identified for making historical past. Signal me up.
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Kendall Capps is the Senior Editor of SB Nation’s Taking part in By means of. For extra golf protection, comply with us @_PlayingThrough on all main social media platforms.
