We sit up for Saturday’s Premier League recreation on the Gtech Group Stadium with our Brentford vs Aston Villa prediction and preview. The hosts will look to shut the hole to Villa to only a level.
Brentford vs Aston Villa Stats: The Key Insights
Brentford are the favourites, given a 42.6% likelihood of successful by the Opta supercomputer.
Aston Villa are unbeaten throughout the final 5 conferences of those two groups, with three wins in that spell.
Former Brentford striker Ollie Watkins has a very good document in London, with 9 aim involvements throughout his final 13 Premier League video games within the capital.
Brentford and Aston Villa begin the weekend both facet of the cut up within the Premier League desk.
The previous (eleventh) are 4 factors behind the latter (tenth), so can’t overtake them with a win on Saturday, however Thomas Frank’s facet can put a dent within the guests’ hopes of European qualification.
Villa are solely 4 factors behind fifth-place Chelsea as we head into Matchday 28, however there are a bunch of different groups within the working for a similar spots.
Unai Emery’s males are having fun with their run on this season’s Champions League, and will have sealed their place within the quarter-finals with their spectacular 3-1 victory in opposition to Membership Brugge within the first leg of their last-16 tie on Tuesday. However it will likely be an uphill battle to qualify once more.
All they’ll do within the league is proceed accumulating factors. Emery is unbeaten in his 5 conferences with Brentford, so he is aware of how one can get the higher of a membership who can show to be very tough opponents for nearly each different crew.
The edges final met in early December. The sport was pretty much as good as over inside 35 minutes as objectives from Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins and Matty Money gave Villa a 3-0 lead. Mikkel Damsgaard pulled a aim again after the break, nevertheless it proved to be Brentford’s solely shot on track.
One other win right here would full Villa’s first double over the Bees since 1946-47, albeit that is solely the seventh season since during which the golf equipment have been in the identical division.
In addition to dominating the current historical past between the groups, Villa have the a lot more healthy of the 2 squads. Emery will solely be with out Ross Barkley and Amadou Onana, whereas Frank should put together for the match with as many as eight males out. Brentford do a minimum of have Rico Henry, Mathias Jensen and Christian Nørgaard nearing a return.
One issue that makes this match so onerous to foretell is that the hosts are struggling a poor run of type at residence, whereas the guests have been struggling on their travels.
Brentford are winless of their final six Premier League residence video games, which is outstanding contemplating they gained seven and drew considered one of their opening eight. The breakdown of fixtures helps clarify the change although, because the final six visiting sides have included 4 of the established ‘huge six’ golf equipment, in addition to high-flying Nottingham Forest and in-form Everton.
Equally, having taken 10 factors from the primary 12 out there on the highway within the Premier League this season, Villa have since gained only one away recreation, incomes 4 factors from a attainable 27 in that point.
Their win in Belgium in midweek can have boosted their confidence on their travels, however Emery’s males have been poor following their Champions League matches this season. Villa are winless of their final seven Premier League video games immediately following a European fixture, dropping all 4 away from Villa Park.
No matter their current struggles on the highway, the guests can name upon a person who loves enjoying in London. Watkins has been concerned in 9 objectives in his final 13 Premier League video games within the capital, scoring eight and helping one.
The England worldwide was previously at Brentford and has scored in his final three appearances in opposition to them, bagging 4 objectives in whole in these matches.
The house facet can name upon an much more potent scorer within the 2024-25 Premier League, although, as Bryan Mbeumo begins the weekend fifth within the standings with 15 objectives.
The 25-year-old has been essential in placing Brentford forward this seasonm too. Ten of Mbeumo’s 15 league objectives have given Brentford the lead, probably the most of any participant, whereas solely Chris Wooden, with 9, can high his tally of seven opening objectives. With the primary aim in any recreation typically important, the Villa defence might want to maintain a really shut eye on Mbeumo.
Brentford vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head
Brentford have been unbeaten in opposition to Aston Villa for the three seasons between 2016-17 and 2018-19 when each side have been within the Championship. They gained all three residence video games and likewise the primary assembly following their promotion to the Premier League in 2021.
Nonetheless, the head-to-head document has swung firmly in direction of Villa since they misplaced their first go to to the Gtech Group Stadium in January 2022. The final 5 conferences have seen the West Midlands outfit gather three wins and two attracts.
If current historical past is any information, this ought to be an entertaining match. The earlier six clashes noticed a median of three.7 objectives and a solitary clear sheet (when Villa gained 4-0 in October 2022). No crew has been concerned in additional video games during which each groups have scored within the Premier League this season than Aston Villa (20) both.
Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction
The house facet ought to have the sting in accordance with the Opta supercomputer. Brentford gained the match in 42.6% of simulations.
There’s roughly a one-in-three likelihood (32.9%) of an away win, with a couple of quarter likelihood (24.6%) of the groups ending the competition all sq..
Brentford vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Opta Energy Rankings
The Opta Energy Rankings are a world crew rating system. They assign a capability rating to over 13,000 home soccer groups. This rating is on a scale between zero and 100, the place zero is the worst-ranked crew on this planet and 100 is the perfect crew on this planet.
Forward of kick-off this weekend, right here is the Opta Energy Rating for each side.
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