An entertaining battle for Europe may very well be on the playing cards on the south coast. We look forward to Wednesday’s Premier League conflict with our Brighton vs Aston Villa prediction and preview.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Stats: The Key Insights
Brighton are the favourites on Wednesday, successful 44.5% of pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer.
João Pedro has extra objective involvements in opposition to Aston Villa (4 – 1 objective, 3 assists) than every other opponent within the Premier League.
These two sides have each scored and conceded in 20 of their 29 Premier League video games this season, with solely Fulham’s video games seeing each groups rating extra usually (21).
Brighton and Aston Villa will each hope to spice up their top-four hopes within the Premier League when the 2 European hopefuls meet on Wednesday night time.
Unai Emery’s facet make the journey south to the Amex Stadium, the place Brighton have received every of their final three league video games. They’ve by no means received 4 in a row on house turf of their top-flight historical past.
Pervis Estupiñán curled in an exquisite free-kick earlier than Abdukodir Khusanov‘s personal objective gave Brighton a reputable 2-2 draw away at Manchester Metropolis earlier than the worldwide break. That leaves Fabian Hürzeler’s facet seventh and two factors adrift of fourth-placed Chelsea heading into the midweek motion.
They’re additionally two factors and two locations away from Villa, who had been 1-0 winners away to Brentford final day out within the league due to Ollie Watkins‘ second-half end. Having additionally defeated Chelsea, Villa’s two wins in three Premier League video games are as many as they’d managed in 9 beforehand (W2 D5 L2). A 3-0 win over Preston within the FA Cup on Sunday following two wins within the Champions League over Membership Brugge hints at some well-timed late-season type.
Emery’s facet will now be seeking to win back-to-back away video games within the Premier League for the primary time since successful their first two away journeys of this season in opposition to West Ham and Leicester Metropolis.
Most will anticipate objectives on Wednesday, too. These two groups have each scored and conceded in 20 of their 29 Premier League video games this season; solely Fulham’s video games have seen each groups rating extra usually within the division this marketing campaign (21).
Brighton have additionally scored not less than two objectives in every of their final 5 league video games. Nevertheless, they’ve by no means accomplished so in six successive top-flight matches, final scoring twice in additional league video games in a row in any division in April 2016 within the Championship (7).
Central to that goalscoring run has been João Pedro, who has scored twice – each penalties – in his final two house Premier League video games. He netted a last-gasp winner in Brighton’s most up-to-date outing on the Amex, a 2-1 win over fellow European challengers Fulham.
Glenn Murray (twice in 2018), Pascal Groß (Aug 2018), Neal Maupay (Oct 2019), and Danny Welbeck (Oct 2024) are the one gamers to attain in 3+ successive house appearances within the Premier League for Brighton, and the Brazilian striker may have good motive to look ahead to this conflict.
João Pedro has extra objective involvements in opposition to Villa (4 – 1 objective, 3 assists) than every other opponent within the Premier League, though Emery’s facet will come armed with their very own star talisman.
Ollie Watkins has scored 13 Premier League objectives this season, with 11 of these strikes both equalising (6) or giving Villa the lead in a match (5). Solely Mohamed Salah (14), Erling Haaland (14), and Alexander Isak (12) have extra equalising and lead-taking objectives mixed within the 2024-25 competitors.
England striker Watkins has not been Villa’s solely supply of objectives, although. No facet on this season’s Premier League can higher Villa’s 13 objectives from set-pieces, excluding penalties.
Hürzeler will not be too involved by that, nevertheless, contemplating solely Brentford (3) and Man Metropolis (5) have conceded fewer objectives from set performs within the competitors this time period than Brighton (6).
Ross Barkley missed Sunday’s 3-0 FA Cup quarter-final win over Preston North Finish, although Emery has a totally match squad aside from that absence.
Ferdi Kadioglu, Jason Steele, Igor Julio and James Milner are long-term absentees for Brighton.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head
Brighton have received simply certainly one of their 5 Premier League house video games in opposition to Villa (D2 L2), although it did come on this actual fixture final season due to João Pedro’s 87th-minute winner for a 1-0 victory.
The groups shared a 2-2 draw at Villa Park within the reverse fixture this time period. Watkins levelled with a penalty after Simon Adingra‘s opener, earlier than Tariq Lamptey struck late on to cancel out Morgan Rogers‘ objective.
That end result left Villa winless of their final two league conferences with Brighton after beforehand successful 5 consecutive Premier League video games in opposition to the Seagulls between November 2021 and September 2023.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction
The Opta supercomputer leans in the direction of a house win as Brighton triumph in 45.2% of 10,000 pre-match simulations.
Villa maintain a 30.5% probability of leaving the south coast with all three factors, whereas the draw was ranked at 24.3%.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Opta Energy Rankings
The Opta Energy Rankings are a world group rating system. They assign a capability rating to over 13,000 home soccer groups. This rating is on a scale between zero and 100, the place zero is the worst-ranked group on the planet and 100 is one of the best group on the planet.
Forward of kick-off, right here is the Opta Energy Rating for either side.
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