We sit up for Friday’s Premier League sport on the Amex Stadium with our Brighton vs Chelsea prediction and preview. Enzo Maresca’s males will probably be searching for revenge after their FA Cup defeat to the Seagulls final weekend.
Brighton vs Chelsea Stats: The Key Insights
The Opta supercomputer favours Chelsea to come back away with the three factors on Friday night time, with the Blues profitable 41.1% of pre-match simulations.
Having failed to attain in 5 of their first eight Premier League conferences with Chelsea, Brighton & Hove Albion have now scored in every of their final seven in opposition to them.
Chelsea’s Robert Sánchez (5) and Ipswich City’s Arijanet Muric (5) are the one gamers to commit extra errors resulting in a aim than Brighton goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen (4) within the Premier League to this point this season.
Chelsea will journey to the Amex Stadium within the Premier League on Friday to tackle Brighton as the perimeters conflict for the second time in lower than every week.
Final Saturday, it was Brighton who ran out victors within the FA Cup fourth spherical, coming from behind to assert a 2-1 victory due to objectives from Georginio Rutter and Kaoru Mitoma.
It means Chelsea’s practical hopes of silverware this season rely solely on the Europa Convention League. They presently sit fourth within the Premier League however lagging properly behind leaders Liverpool.
On Friday, they’ll be seeking to arrest a disappointing run of type that’s seen them win simply three of their final 10 video games in all competitions, leaving them in an actual dogfight for the Champions League locations with the likes of Manchester Metropolis and Newcastle seeking to pounce on any additional slip-ups.
Chelsea are presently on their longest winless streak away from residence within the Premier League (two attracts, two defeats), going 4 with out victory since beating Tottenham 4-3 in early December; the Blues averaged 2.9 objectives per sport throughout their first eight away league video games of the season however simply 0.5 per sport throughout this winless run.
They gained’t worry falling behind on Friday, nevertheless. Solely Liverpool have come from behind to keep away from defeat in additional Premier League video games this season than Chelsea (seven instances).
In the meantime, Chelsea have gained two of their final three league matches when behind at half-time (vs Tottenham and West Ham), as many as throughout their earlier 31 when trailing on the break (4 attracts, 25 defeats).
Brighton’s cup victory final weekend may have been simply the response Fabian Hürzeler may have needed after his crew’s earlier league outing, a 7-0 away drubbing by the hands of Nottingham Forest.
It was Brighton’s heaviest league defeat since a 9-0 reverse to Middlesbrough in August 1958, and one meaning they head into Matchday 25 in tenth.
One other defeat on Friday would mark the primary time the Seagulls have misplaced three Premier League video games in a row since March 2022.
Brighton are unbeaten of their final three Premier League residence video games in opposition to sides beginning the day within the high 4 (two wins, one draw), although Hürzeler’s crew are winless in 5 general on the Amex Stadium since beating then second-placed Man Metropolis in November.
A regarding statistic for Brighton is their poor defensive file in opposition to Chelsea, who’ve stored only one clear sheet in 15 Premier League conferences.
When it comes to crew information, Pervis Estupiñán, Lewis Dunk and Mats Wieffer are all doubts, whereas Ferdi Kadioglu and James Milner aren’t anticipated again till at the least March.
For Enzo Maresca, Nicolas Jackson may return up entrance after lacking the cup sport, although Benoit Badiashile, Roméo Lavia and Wesley Fofana are all out injured.
Brighton vs Chelsea Head-to-Head
This would be the second aggressive assembly inside every week between these two sides in Brighton, with the house facet working out 2-1 winners within the FA Cup final weekend. The Seagulls got here from behind after an unlucky Bart Verbruggen personal aim early on.
After a five-game unbeaten run in opposition to Chelsea within the Premier League (two wins, three attracts), Brighton have now misplaced every of their final three in opposition to them.
Chelsea have misplaced simply one among their seven Premier League away video games in opposition to Brighton (4 victories, two attracts), happening 4-1 in October 2022.
The final Premier League conflict between the perimeters was again in September, when a surprising efficiency from Cole Palmer noticed him rating all 4 objectives in a 4-2 victory.
Essentially the most objectives a Chelsea participant has scored in opposition to an opponent in a single Premier League marketing campaign is 5: Gianluca Vialli vs Barnsley (1997-98), Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink vs Tottenham (2001-02) and Diego Costa vs Swansea (2014-15). Palmer will probably be seeking to match and even higher the tally of these three gamers on Friday.
Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction
Chelsea are backed by the Opta supercomputer to return to profitable methods on Friday, popping out victorious in 41.1% of pre-match simulations.
Brighton will probably be backed by their residence crowd, and so they repeat final weekend’s heroics with one other victory 33.6% of the time. The groups share the spoils in 25.4% of simulations.
Chelsea are fourth, although the supercomputer charges them as fifth-favourites to complete within the high 4 with a 44.1% likelihood, behind Liverpool (100%), Arsenal (99.5%), reigning champions Man Metropolis (64.2%) and shock packages Nottingham Forest (50.3%).
Brighton’s European hopes are thought-about slender, and the supercomputer is predicting them to complete of their present place of tenth, maybe a little bit disappointing contemplating their above-par performances in current campaigns.
Brighton vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups
![Brighton vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups](https://theanalyst.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/brighton-vs-chelsea-predicted-lineups-1024x1024.png)
![Brighton vs Chelsea Predicted Lineup](https://theanalyst.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/brighton-vs-chelsea-predicted-lineup-1024x1024.png)
Opta Energy Rankings
The Opta Energy Rankings are a world crew rating system that assigns a capability rating to over 13,000 home soccer groups on a scale between zero and 100, the place zero is the worst-ranked crew on the planet and 100 is the most effective crew on the planet.
Forward of kick-off on Friday night time, right here is the Opta Energy Rating for either side.
![Opta Stats Hub Premier League](https://theanalyst.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/opta-stats-hub-premier-league.jpg)
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