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Home Tennis

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic at the US Open: How each can win

September 5, 2025
in Tennis
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NEW YORK — Novak Djokovic is aware of the world is anticipating one other remaining between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz on Sunday on the US Open.

And even he — the person with essentially the most main titles in historical past and somebody who spent 428 weeks atop the rankings — believes them to be the very best two gamers on the planet. He has spoken overtly about how essential the duo is for the game and its future.

However regardless of all that, the 38-year-old Djokovic is not fairly able to cross the baton but.

“All people might be anticipating and anticipating the finals between two of them,” Djokovic mentioned following his quarterfinal victory over Taylor Fritz on Tuesday. “I’ll attempt to, , mess up the plans of most people.”

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Djokovic may have his likelihood to just do that Friday as he takes on 22-year-old Alcaraz, the No. 2 seed, in an eagerly anticipated semifinal match. The winner will face both the top-ranked Sinner or No. 25 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime, who additionally play Friday, in Sunday’s remaining. Alcaraz and Sinner have performed towards one another within the earlier two Slam finals, at Wimbledon and the French Open, and have mixed to win the final seven main titles.

Friday will mark the ninth profession assembly between Djokovic and Alcaraz, with Djokovic holding a 5-3 edge, and with the 2 most up-to-date victories. However, even with that historical past, Alcaraz continues to be favored to win the match.

For each gamers, there’s lots on the road. Djokovic is hoping to maintain his dream alive of successful his twenty fifth main Slam title, which might break a tie for essentially the most all time with Margaret Courtroom, and Alcaraz wish to attain his third consecutive main remaining and probably win the sixth of his profession.

Here is every part you want to know forward of Friday’s semifinal.

Djokovic’s final objective is to win a record-breaking twenty fifth Grand Slam title.Ā Sarah Stier/Getty Pictures

Can Djokovic do it?

Djokovic has just a few issues going for him. First, he is by no means misplaced to Alcaraz on arduous court docket. Their final assembly, within the quarterfinals on the Australian Open to begin the 12 months, noticed Djokovic power a comeback — after sustaining a leg damage early and dropping the opening set — behind highly effective groundstrokes, sturdy protection and classic motion that appeared to get higher and higher because the match progressed.

Alcaraz later admitted that Djokovic’s damage induced him to lose his focus barely, and Djokovic credited his huge profession expertise in serving to him overcome the hindrance and any distraction.

All through the US Open, Djokovic has been pushed to 4 units in three of his 5 matches, together with throughout his 6-3, 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 victory over Fritz on Tuesday. He is had some damage scares, of various levels of severity, all through the event and the season, and he was grateful to have the additional off day forward of the semifinal showdown. He is possible going to wish it. By the semifinals, Djokovic has spent nearly 3½ extra hours on court docket than his youthful opponent.

“I’ll attempt to take in the future at a time, actually care for my physique, attempt to calm down and recuperate,” Djokovic mentioned within the early morning hours on Wednesday. “The following couple of days is admittedly key for me to essentially get my physique in form and able to battle 5 units if it is wanted.

“I simply would actually love that, would like to be match sufficient to play — and to play probably 5 units with Carlos. I do know that my greatest tennis goes to be required, however I might rise to the event.”

He admitted he wasn’t feeling “very contemporary for the time being” in his information convention after the quarterfinals however was hopeful. He additionally was assured in his means to “grind,” as he had completed towards Fritz, and discover an additional gear on the most vital moments. “You simply should play together with your coronary heart and combat,” he mentioned. “That is what actually gave me the win in the long run.”

Though not fairly in his prime type, Djokovic has proven himself to be a formidable foe for Father Time all through his run in New York. He has moved across the court docket with ease and has been buoyed by his sturdy serving all through. He is been victorious in 92% of his service video games and had 57 aces. To not point out, he is additionally received a formidable 33% of his return video games.

“I feel he all the time serves nicely, like, on his first serves,” Fritz mentioned on Tuesday evening. “He hits his spots nicely. He will get a superb quantity of free factors and aces … I feel what’s made it robust prior to now is how a lot variance there’s in his second serve.”

Djokovic’s third-round opponent, Cameron Norrie, who he had performed six occasions beforehand, was equally effusive in his reward.

“He served extremely nicely, possibly the very best he is ever served towards me,” Norrie mentioned. “I used to be actually impressed with that.”

Alcaraz was the one man to succeed in the quarterfinals of the US Open with out dropping a set.Ā John G Mabanglo/EPA/Shutterstock

OK, however Alcaraz continues to be the favourite to win the match, proper?

Sure. There was no another dominant all through the fortnight than Alcaraz. Arriving in New York having simply received the title in Cincinnati, he was the one man to succeed in the quarterfinals with out dropping a set and he is confronted only one tiebreak in his 5 matches. He is been nearly unstoppable, even towards prime quality opponents.

Jiri Lehecka, the event’s No. 20 seed who Alcaraz defeated within the quarterfinals in below two hours, mentioned Alcaraz — or the “Grand Slam model of Carlos” — merely did every part higher when it mattered most.

“If you wish to beat him, you want to win at the very least just a few of the massive factors, and he received all of them,” Lehecka mentioned on Tuesday. “Even after I performed a extremely good rally, even after I tried to place him below strain, go to the web, change the rhythm, do one thing, he was there, and he had a solution for every part I attempted.”

And if all that weren’t sufficient, Alcaraz has received an astounding 99% of his service video games — all however one — in New York. He advised reporters his serve had been his major focus for enchancment prior to now 12 months and credited that, and his consistency with it, for his latest outcomes.

“Tennis, it is actually arduous generally, as a result of in the future you may serve actually, very well, and the following match you may really feel utterly completely different and actually dangerous,” he mentioned after defeating Lehecka. “So I am attempting to take care of the give attention to the serve, simply attempting to do every part the identical and getting the great feeling.”

Alcaraz mentioned he knew Djokovic was “hungry” and had an “ambition for extra” when pondering forward to their (then potential) conflict, however mentioned he had his personal motivation: revenge. “Clearly,” he mentioned Tuesday, whereas alluding to their earlier matches.

So, who will win this match?

One factor is for sure: Each gamers will likely be bringing their greatest degree and an unwavering want to advance to Sunday’s remaining.

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Djokovic has overwhelmed Alcaraz on this floor at a Grand Slam this season, so he is aware of precisely what he must do in an effort to get it completed once more. Most significantly, he believes he can do it. He is also conscious about the ticking clock on his profession, and that he solely has restricted possibilities remaining to realize his dream for 25.

However whether or not or not that will likely be motivating or debilitating in a high-pressure scenario stays to be seen after a string of semifinal exits. Djokovic additionally is aware of that the longer the match goes, the extra it favors the youthful, and brisker, Alcaraz, so he might want to come out sturdy from the primary level.

Alcaraz does not have any of that very same weight on his shoulders. However what he does have is confidence, and a sport that’s clicking on all cylinders. He hasn’t confronted a lot adversity all through his run, but when he can deal with these moments, if and after they come up, and stay locked in, it actually looks like that is his match to win.

Prediction: Alcaraz in 4 units.



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Tags: AlcarazCarlosDjokovicNovakOpenwin
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