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Home NBA

Celtics face tough offseason choices. What potential paths could they take?

May 31, 2025
in NBA
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Celtics face tough offseason choices. What potential paths could they take?


Jayson Tatum’s torn Achilles despatched shockwaves via the NBA because the defending champion Boston Celtics will now be with out their greatest participant for fairly some time. As a body of reference, Kevin Durant tore his Achilles within the 2019 NBA Finals, missed the next season and mentioned just lately that it took two full years to really feel proper bodily.

Having Tatum out that lengthy adjustments the Celtics’ calculus and workforce constructing for the foreseeable future. They have been staring down a traditionally costly 2025-26 roster, particularly as a result of the present collective bargaining settlement’s a lot stiffer penalties for repeat luxurious tax payers kick in and massively increase per-dollar prices the deeper these groups are into the tax.

Celtics president of basketball operations Brad Stevens and the entrance workplace have a difficult job forward. With Tatum out, the Celtics can keep aggressive, although not going as high-end title contenders, whereas additionally setting the desk for Tatum’s return, although he will not be again at 100% till 2027.

Evaluating which gamers to maintain and which to doubtlessly commerce requires many concerns. We’ll look at a few of these right here, however first …

How a lot do the Celtics want to chop?

Even with out something for Al Horford or their different free brokers, the Celtics have $230.6 million in current contractual obligations for the 2025-26 season, together with their workforce possibility on JD Davison and the total quantities for each Neemias Queta and Jordan Walsh, although each are solely partially assured. The second-apron threshold for 2025-26 must be $207.8 million, which means the Celtics are presently $22.8 million into the second apron with out Horford or filling out the roster. Complicating issues is the truth that, as a result of there shall be extraordinarily few cap-space groups this summer season, most commerce companions are usually not in a position to take somebody like Jrue Vacation ($32.4 million for subsequent season) with out sending wage again in return, although some or all of that might be rerouted to a 3rd workforce with an asset or two.

Additionally it is doable that new Celtics possession won’t see the second apron as a tough line, which I truly would have predicted earlier than Tatum’s damage, however that now appears a lot much less palatable, as it could result in a frozen draft decide and the considerably elevated likelihood of seeing their 2032 decide shifting to the top of the primary spherical. Is that price it for a workforce that won’t be a critical contender? To not me, however doubtlessly to Invoice Chisholm.

Here’s a player-by-player breakdown of how I see the Celtics’ choices this offseason, together with the participant’s age in the beginning of subsequent season and their remaining contract after 2024-25:

Jrue Vacation | 35 | three years, $104.4 million (participant possibility in 2027-28)

Vacation is the massive wage that may take advantage of sense for the Celtics to attempt to transfer. Regardless that they might sorely miss his protection, he has already taken a step again, and there are sometimes steep drop-offs for gamers of their mid-30s who are usually not elite shooters. Boston’s downside is that, presumably, different groups are seeing the identical factor, and Vacation’s diminished offense — his 11.1 factors per recreation common was his lowest since his rookie season — makes it much less possible {that a} potential commerce accomplice sees him having unused functionality on that finish.

If one other entrance workplace sees Vacation’s contract as optimistic worth, the Celtics ought to strike rapidly, however (justifiably!) paying him produced a remaining obligation that’s beneath water. As unpalatable as it could be, I’d be prepared to surrender a modest asset like a late future first-round decide or the twenty eighth choice this yr to make it occur. Ready will increase the chance of a future downturn hurting his worth additional, and maintaining Vacation makes it extra possible they transfer one other contributor who is probably going extra necessary to Boston’s success in 2026-27 and past.

Kristaps Porziņģis | 30 | one yr, $30.7 million

The Celtics had loads of success earlier than buying the Latvian huge man, however his skill to area the ground and defend the rim is a crucial a part of the speculation of this roster as an elite title contender, even when he missed a lot of their 2024 playoff run. Porziņģis’ damage historical past is clearly regarding, however the sheer lack of viable replacements makes shifting him considerably much less palatable.

This season, solely 13 gamers 6-foot-10 or taller tried six 3-pointers per 36 minutes (Porziņģis took 7.4 per 36), and solely 5 of them have any actual likelihood to play middle defensively: Porziņģis, Myles Turner, Jaren Jackson Jr., Victor Wembanyama and Alex Sarr. That’s not precisely a listing of simply obtainable gamers. Past Horford’s age and 2025 free company, one other key consideration is that Porziņģis hits unrestricted free company subsequent summer season with out an extension, so understanding what he desires and expects for his subsequent deal helps decide each his viability on the workforce financially and what sort of total obligation the workforce can be taking a look at long run if it retains him. My sturdy desire can be to maintain Porziņģis due to his terribly uncommon ability set, which ought to age moderately nicely relying on well being, even when this season ended so surprisingly for him.

Jaylen Brown | 28 | 4 years, $236.2 million

Even contemplating buying and selling the reigning NBA Finals MVP is a daring step, however Brown’s mixture of ability, manufacturing and positional shortage brings a sequence of thrilling potential suitors out of the woodwork who couldn’t be concerned in different negotiations with the Celtics. In any case, everybody wants forwards, and the few who’re dynamic on each ends of the ground are actually prized. Even so, Brown’s huge contract and irritating offensive season (32 % on 3s, 53 % on 2s, worst true taking pictures share since his third yr) may imply that there’s extra draw back danger than potential commerce suitors are seeing or appreciating in the meanwhile. On prime of that, the Celtics possible being out of the title combine subsequent season means they’re leaning extra on the later years of the contract, when Brown shall be in his early 30s, whereas different groups can get extra profit from his 2025-26 manufacturing.


Jaylen Brown is the reigning NBA Finals MVP, however ought to Boston look to maneuver him this offseason? (Brian Fluharty / Getty Photographs)

To be clear, this doesn’t imply I’d be in a rush to commerce Brown or be joyful in any means about doing so; it simply stands out as the proper time contemplating the Celtics’ sudden state of affairs. The fascinating counter is that, within the 2027 playoffs, Brown shall be 30 and Tatum shall be 29 — each nicely inside their primes if Tatum is near 100%. Giving up a key a part of what made the Celtics particular for all these years, when there might be extra championship window, can be an enormous, huge determination.

Derrick White | 31 | 4 years, $125.8 million (participant possibility in 2028-29)

White is older than some assume as a consequence of his circuitous path to the NBA, however his taking pictures makes him extra intriguing in his 30s than most guards. His wage — a mean of about $32 million per season — might appear to be quite a bit for a guard who doesn’t run the offense, however the quickly rising cap will make this look fairly pedestrian quickly. In 2027-28, White’s $32.6 million shall be 17.42 % of the estimated wage cap for that season, the equal of Kyle Kuzma’s $24.5 million this season. White’s recreation additionally matches fantastically with Tatum as a result of he can defend a number of positions, shoot off the ball and be an opportunistic playmaker. Retaining White can be far preferable to maintaining Vacation within the close to and long run, however it’s doable {that a} powerful commerce marketplace for Vacation forces Stevens to no less than have some conversations about White.

Payton Pritchard | 27 | three years, $23.3 million

Pritchard is concurrently too precious on his present contract and receiving too low a wage to really change the Celtics’ funds. It will take a surprisingly strong supply to maneuver him, even when the Sixth Man of the Yr is probably going greatest coming off the bench except a workforce has plenty of playmaking at different positions within the beginning lineup.

Sam Hauser | 27 | 4 years, $45 million

Hauser’s $11 million a yr is nicely beneath the midlevel exception even now, however Hauser has not proven sufficient recreation past his prodigious taking pictures (42 % on 9 or extra 3s per 36 minutes every of the final three seasons) to make a entrance workplace assured he could be a constant starter on a workforce with expectations. Even so, he has a extra established résumé than Corey Kispert, who acquired an extension from the Washington Wizards price extra per season than Hauser, although you will need to observe that Kispert’s features a workforce possibility on the finish.

Like Pritchard, Hauser’s wage will not be sufficient to alter the Celtics’ books an excessive amount of, plus he might tackle a a lot bigger function throughout Tatum’s absence. His future with the franchise is probably going depending on whether or not guys greater up on the pecking order find yourself elsewhere relatively than his personal play.

What would my plan be for the Celtics?

Work laborious to discover a dwelling for Vacation and be prepared to surrender a first-round decide and perhaps two, particularly if they’ll deliver again a rotation participant within the deal.
Retain Horford if moderately doable, even when he shall be 40 for the 2026-27 season when Tatum returns. He’s that necessary.
Hear intently on Brown, particularly if the Vacation market is tough.
Talk about extension phrases with Porziņģis with the expectation he shall be again for 2026-27 and past, except the 2 sides are too far aside. In that case, take heed to commerce affords however have a excessive bar.
Get an understanding of whether or not any worthwhile gamers would take the $5.7 million taxpayer midlevel exception for a number of years who wouldn’t be prepared to signal for the minimal. That will be one other incentive to remain below the second apron.
Hear on White, however plan to maintain him round except potential Vacation and Brown trades look considerably worse than anticipated. That mentioned, there might be suitors who worth what White can deliver, and he wouldn’t be untouchable.
Retain Luke Kornet if it is smart. Even when Horford and Porziņģis return, there may be nonetheless a transparent place for him within the rotation, however anybody providing starter cash or a starter function is simply too excessive a worth to maintain him. Happily for the Celtics, few groups have the spending energy to make them actually sweat, nevertheless it solely takes one or two entrance workplaces to alter that dynamic.
Discover out if anybody sees Hauser as a impartial or optimistic worth, however solely plan to maneuver him if it makes an actual distinction for the second apron. Even rotation-level forwards are brutally laborious to seek out and purchase proper now.
Hear on Pritchard, however solely transfer him if actually blown away by a proposal.

It’s past surreal for the still-reigning champions with a core largely of their prime to be dealing with these varieties of selections, however the ache and great thing about the NBA is that conditions can change rapidly for quite a lot of causes. One of the best organizations set themselves up for achievement whereas adjusting when crucial. Stevens and the Celtics have a captivating, necessary job to try this will have an effect on the league panorama for years to come back.

(Prime photograph of Jrue Vacation and Kristaps Porziņģis: Steven Ryan / Getty Photographs)



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