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Home Formula 1

F1 MATHS: The data reveals Hamilton can still produce race-winning pace

August 11, 2025
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F1 MATHS: The data reveals Hamilton can still produce race-winning pace


By Balazs Szabo on 11 Aug 2025, 05:00

Regardless of his struggles over the course of the Hungarian Grand Prix weekend, the info exhibits that Lewis Hamilton had far more to supply on the Hungaroring. F1Technical’s senior author Balazs Szabo delivers his newest evaluation.

Ferrari endured combined feelings in Saturday’s qualifying on the Hungaroring. Lewis Hamilton didn’t safe something higher than a P12 on the grid after struggling for tempo in constantly-changing climate situations.

On the opposite aspect of the storage, Charles Leclerc additionally seemed uncomfortable behind the wheel of his SF-25, albeit he progressed into the ultimate a part of qualifying. With a storming lap, he grabbed pole place on a monitor the place he by no means actually felt himself aggressive.

Come the race, the Monegasque had an important begin to preserve the lead into Flip 1. Throughout his first stint, he seemed very aggressive and was capable of construct up a margin from his closest rival Oscar Piastri.

Though he gave the impression to be sturdy throughout his second stint as effectively, his tempo unexpectedly pale within the final phase of the Mogyoród race which noticed him fall again to P4, ending a disappointing day on the Hungaroring.

His team-mate Hamilton began from the arduous compound, however spent a lot of the race in site visitors.

Though he seemed sturdy even on used tyres in free air, he discovered himself in heavy site visitors on his second set of tyres once more, which meant that he was ended up down in P12, the place which he began the 70-lap race from.

How far was Hamilton from a robust qualifying efficiency?

Lewis Hamilton’s struggles on the Hungaroring are well-documented. The British driver didn’t make it out in Q2, along with his outcome leaving him in P12 on the grid for the Hungarian Grand Prix the place overtaking is often at a premium even when the scenario barely improved because the introduction of the ground-effect vehicles.

Wait, however did Hamilton miss rather a lot to Leclerc over a qualifying lap? In the course of the opening phase of qualifying, the seven-time world champion was solely 151 1000’s of a second slower than his team-mate, while that hole grew to 247 1000’s of a second in Q2.

Nonetheless, this distinction was sufficient for Hamilton to overlook out on Q3 by a fraction – a 15-thousand hole separated him from Sauber’s Gabriel Bortoleto, who completed Q2 in tenth place.

His disappointing beginning place which was a results of a slight lack of tempo and a few misfortune meant the seven-time F1 champion spent the vast majority of the race caught in site visitors, and was unable to enhance his beginning place when he crossed the end line.

When analysing the boxplot diagram generated from Hamilton’s lap instances, it’s clear to see the true nature of the British driver’s points on the Hungarian Grand Prix.

The vary of Hamilton’s boxplot just isn’t a shock given the distinction between his potential efficiency and his tempo behind a lot slower vehicles. Having caught in site visitors meant that the vary of his boxplot is the widest of all drivers.

The Briton was dropping effectively over a second caught behind the Haas of Oliver Bearman and the Racing Bulls of Isack Hadjar for an extended time period.

The Haas driver pitted on Lap 30 and the French racer on Lap 33 which lastly allowed Hamilton to unleash the velocity he had out there. The Stevenage-born driver went 1.5 seconds faster on his first tour in free air in comparison with his laps when he was caught in site visitors.

It is usually price having a look on the relation between Hamilton’s imply and median lap time. The latter is positioned effectively above the previous, providing an extra affirmation how a lot Hamilton was hindered by slower vehicles which robbed him the chance of unleashing his true tempo.


Wait, would Hamilton have been capable of tackle the battle for a podium place?

Understandably, Hamilton lower a dejected determine after climbing out out his Ferrari SF25 which adopted Saturday’s early night’s post-qualifying interview during which he recommended that the Scuderia would possibly want to seek out one other driver.

Hamilton may need struggled to unlock his true tempo in qualifying each at Spa-Francorchamps and on the Hungaroring which had a large impact on how he carried out on Sunday, however the information exhibits that the driving force, who nonetheless holds the document for many wins on the Hungarian Grand Prix, had the tempo to compete for podium locations.

With the seven-time F1 champion pursuing a one-stop technique, his efficiency could possibly be in comparison with Lando Norris’ tempo, who additionally elected to pit solely as soon as on the Mogyoród race.

Having certified himself third, the McLaren man dropped additional behind in the beginning, dropping two spots to George Russell and Fernando Alonso. Norris spent the opening twenty laps behind the Aston Martin driver after which the Mercedes racer, however on Lap 20, he discovered himself within the lead.

Driving in free air between Lap 20 and 30, Norris produced a median lap time of 1m22.1s. Though it was spectacular, Hamilton seemed very aggressive in free air as effectively.

Though he ‘obtained’ the possibility of unleashing his tempo with none site visitors affecting him a lot later – between Lap 34 and 42 -, the British driver produced a imply lap time of 1m22.45s, which was – contemplating his older, worn hards – was a mirrored image of his true tempo.

Regardless of his eye-catching tempo on the heavily-worn white-walled Pirellis, Hamilton was not capable of absolutely capitalize on his mediums within the second half of the race.

The seven-time F1 champion accomplished his pit cease on Lap 43, rejoining the monitor 5.8 seconds away from Alpine’s Pierre Gasly. He was capable of shut in on the Frenchman inside solely 5 laps, and overtook the Alpine driver on Lap 50.

Only a lap later, Hamilton went previous the Haas of Esteban Ocon, and located himself 1.2 seconds adrift of Carlos Sainz whom he changed at Ferrari. The Briton picked off the Spaniard a lap later, and located himself six seconds away from the Racing Bulls of Isack Hadjar.

It took solely seven laps for Hamilton to shut in on the Paris-born driver, however as Hajdar himself had DRS due to Mercedes rookie driver Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Hamilton’s nice comeback drive stalled and the Ferrari man got here residence in a disappointing twelfth place.

F1earlier



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