Lane Kiffin’s exit from Ole Miss on Sunday triggered a guessing sport at sportsbooks, with oddsmakers attempting to determine how a lot to downgrade the Rebels with out the mercurial coach heading into the Faculty Soccer Playoff.
Opinions diversified, however the consensus vary amongst 4 oddsmakers was that Kiffin was price upwards of 4 factors.
“We’re guessing,” stated Chris Bennett, sportsbook director at Circa in Las Vegas, “however we positively suppose Lane Kiffin’s presence is important for the Ole Miss staff score.”
The Rebels had been 25-1 to win the nationwide championship earlier than Kiffin introduced he can be taking a job at LSU and wouldn’t coach Ole Miss within the playoff. The Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas dropped the Rebels’ title odds to 40-1 on Sunday after the information was made official.
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“The problem now could be understanding the complete extent of the influence his departure could have,” Joey Feazel, who oversees soccer odds for Caesars Sportsbook, advised ESPN. “It may very well be minimal or it may very well be vital relying on which personnel and employees comply with him out the door. The purpose unfold will definitely be affected, however the larger shift might are available offensive effectivity. With a defensive-minded coach doubtless taking the reins, anticipate the whole to pattern decrease.”
Veteran Las Vegas oddsmaker Chris Andrews was on the low finish and wasn’t planning to regulate his energy scores on Ole Miss a lot with Kiffin departing, “assuming somebody on the employees takes the reins … 1-1.5 factors at most.”
“Nearer to 1 except the market dictates in any other case,” Andrews, the sportsbook director on the South Level, advised ESPN.
Ed Salmons, a Las Vegas oddsmaker for 40-plus years, had seven groups above Ole Miss in his energy scores forward of Kiffin’s departure. He was planning to drop the Rebels to twelfth with out Kiffin.
“For instance Alabama loses [in the SEC championship game] and so they get matched up in opposition to Ole Miss [in the CFP first round], Bama would go in there favored,” Salmons of the SuperBook stated, including that the Rebels would have been favored over the Crimson Tide if Kiffin had been nonetheless the coach.
“Initially, you are simply guessing,” Salmons stated, “however when these coaches simply outright depart, nothing good often occurs.”
Thanksgiving underdogs ravage bettors
All 4 NFL underdogs — the Inexperienced Bay Packers, Dallas Cowboys, Cincinnati Bengals and Chicago Bears — received outright Thursday and Friday, leading to a Thanksgiving thrashing for bettors and chaos in a high-stakes survivor contest in Las Vegas.
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It is the primary time because the NFL expanded to a few Thanksgiving video games in 2006 that every one three underdogs received straight up on the vacation, and it is the primary time an underdog received outright on Black Friday because the league added that sport in 2023.
Circa Survivor, an NFL survivor contest with a $1,000 buy-in and an $18.6 million prize pool, requires contestants to select two outright winners throughout Thanksgiving week, one from the Thursday-Friday video games and the second from the Sunday-Monday slate. Coming into Thanksgiving, 898 entries had been nonetheless alive; after the Bears completed off the Philadelphia Eagles on Friday, solely 49 entries had been left. Philadelphia was essentially the most chosen staff within the contest for the Thursday-Friday slate.
Two contestants didn’t submit their choose by the deadline for the week and had been eradicated.
Circa’s higher-stakes survivor contest — the $100,000 per entry Grandissimo — ended because of the Thanksgiving/Black Friday upsets. The remaining six gamers cut up the $6.9 million prize pool evenly, every taking dwelling $1.15 million.
NFL Odds & Ends
The Carolina Panthers’ outright win as 9.5-point underdogs in opposition to the Los Angeles Rams was tied for the second-largest upset of the season, trailing solely the Panthers’ (13.5) victory over the Inexperienced Bay Packers in Week 9. Carolina has received seven video games straight up as an underdog, essentially the most by any staff by November of any season within the Tremendous Bowl period, per ESPN Analysis.
Excluding Week 10 when the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs had been on bye, the reigning Tremendous Bowl favourite has misplaced 4 weeks in a row: Chiefs (Week 9), Chiefs (Week 11), Eagles (Week 12) and Rams (Week 13).
The preferred participant prop Sunday morning at DraftKings was Cleveland Browns quarterback Shedeur Sanders to throw two-plus touchdowns in opposition to the San Francisco 49ers.
Going into the season, the Chiefs had been -450 to make the playoffs, in response to ESPN BET odds. Earlier than their Thanksgiving loss to the Cowboys, the Chiefs had been -220 for the postseason, and going into Sunday of Week 13, they had been -115 to make the playoffs, their longest odds of the season.
Underdogs went 9-5 in opposition to the unfold and 7-7 straight up by Sunday afternoon, together with the Thanksgiving and Black Friday video games. Underdogs had been 9-2 ATS and 7-4 SU by the early Sunday slate earlier than all three favorites coated within the late slate.
Faculty soccer odds & ends
Convention championship video games
(Consensus opening strains)
CUSA: Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State -1.5, 57.5
Solar Belt: Troy at James Madison -21, 47.5
American: North Texas -3, 66.5 vs. Tulane
Mountain West: UNLV vs. Boise State -1.5, 56.5
Massive 12: BYU vs. Texas Tech -12.5, 50.5
MAC: Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan -2.5, 43
SEC: Georgia -1.5, 47.5 vs. Alabama
ACC: Duke vs. Virginia -2.5, 57.5
Massive Ten: Indiana vs. Ohio State -5.5, 48.5
Salmons of the SuperBook stated Notre Dame can be “greater than a discipline objective however lower than a landing favourite” over Miami if the 2 playoff contenders performed on a impartial web site this week.
Texas Tech coated the unfold in 11 of 12 regular-season video games, turning into the primary power-conference staff to complete the common season at 11-1 or higher in opposition to the unfold since 2012 Northwestern.
Virginia will play Duke within the ACC championship sport. At 100-1, the Cavaliers can be the most important preseason lengthy shot to win the ACC in over 15 years.
