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Home NFL

NFL Week 4 predictions, bets: Picks against the spread for every game

September 28, 2025
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NFL Week 4 predictions, bets: Picks against the spread for every game



New York is a tricky city for coaches. Even probably the most profitable ones get fired.

Typically, the ax is predicted, resembling when the Rangers lower bait with Peter Laviolette after a disastrous season, one 12 months after he led them to the NHL’s finest report and inside six wins of the Stanley Cup.

Different occasions, it’s a shock. Simply ask Sandy Brondello, who was dumped by the Liberty a 12 months after directing them to their first WNBA title. Or Tom Thibodeau, who was dispatched by the Knicks after taking them to their first Japanese Convention finals berth since 2000.

This brings us to Brian Daboll, who holds a report of 18-35 three video games into his fourth season. His résumé features a playoff highway victory at Minnesota within the first 12 months. Since then, his groups have gone 9-28 and have ranked twenty seventh, thirty first, and thirtieth in factors scored.

Not solely that, the Giants couldn’t work out how you can rating or win persistently with Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones, each of whom have gone on to, let’s assume, greater and higher issues.

It seems there are two important the explanation why Daboll will nonetheless be standing on the sideline Sunday when the Chargers come to MetLife Stadium. One is that co-owner John Mara was bored with firing coaches after two seasons or much less (Joe Decide, Pat Shurmur, Ben McAdoo).

The opposite is that the Giants drafted Jaxson Dart with the twenty fifth decide this season, and Daboll’s historical past with quarterbacks, most prominently Josh Allen, was sufficient to warrant giving this duo a shot. That probability has arrived in Week 4 after Daboll realized firsthand why Pete Carroll, Sean Payton and Mike Tomlin all believed Russell Wilson was washed up.

Probably, this will probably be Daboll’s final ace to play. I don’t imagine it’ll be sufficient for the Daboll-Dart tandem to go, let’s say, 4-10 within the subsequent 14 video games with an uptick close to the top. There will probably be some hotshot offensive coordinator who will inform Mara and Steve Tisch how he may do higher with Dart, and this time the homeowners most likely will chew.

Is that this the best time to make the transfer to Dart? The Chargers are a great group, most likely second tier within the NFL, and so they have a tricky protection. Malik Nabers (shoulder) is also on the harm listing. Subsequent week in New Orleans undoubtedly would have been a softer touchdown spot.

Conversely, it’s sensible to feed Dart to the fan base now because the undefeated Nice Blue Hope. The sensation right here is his teammates will rise to the event to assist him, and for this week we get the most effective of regardless of the Giants will be.

The decide: Giants +6.5. 

Carson Wentz will make his second straight begin on Sunday after main the Vikings to a 48-10 smackdown in opposition to Cincinnati final week. AP

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) over Minnesota Vikings (in Dublin, Eire)

Aaron Rodgers is 0-2 in his European excursions, shedding as a Packer to the Giants in 2022 and as a Jet to those Vikings final season, each in London. Although Carson Wentz was dependable in his first Vikings begin, I’m considering the Rodgers-Steelers offense will get higher because the season goes alongside.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) over TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Each groups beat the rap final week, with the Eagles getting back from 26-7 down in opposition to the Rams and the Bucs surviving the miracle blocked subject aim return by the Jets. The important thing right here is the harm report mixed with the 91-degree warmth. Figuring the Eagles will put on out the Bucs within the trenches on either side of the ball.

Alvin Kamara stays the Saints’ key offensive weapon after falling to 0-3 and going through a mighty Payments group. IMAGN IMAGES by way of Reuters Join

New Orleans Saints (+15.5) over BUFFALO BILLS

Although the Payments are averaging 34 ppg, they referred to as off the canine on the Jets and didn’t present a lot killer intuition vs. the Dolphins. Saints play at a excessive tempo and nonetheless have some weapons (Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave), so the backdoor ought to be open if the Payments aren’t in kill mode. 

ATLANTA FALCONS (+1) over Washington Commanders

Dan Quinn returns to face a Falcons group he as soon as led to a Tremendous Bowl berth. Marcus Mariota put up 41 factors in opposition to the Raiders, however now might be with out Terry McLaurin. Questioning if Atlanta’s troubling 30-0 loss at Carolina goes past the traditional NFL “bounce again” expectancy, however right here goes …

DETROIT LIONS (-10) over Cleveland Browns

It’s a brief week for the Lions after their Monday night time rout of the Ravens, the unfold has ballooned to double digits, and the Browns come into Motown No. 1 in yards per sport allowed by a large margin. Don’t care about any of that. The Browns aren’t outfitted to run this monitor meet.

Jared Goff is sizzling off main the Lions to a 38-30 upset over the Ravens in Week 3. AP

HOUSTON TEXANS (-7) over Tennessee Titans

Sure, it’s exhausting to justify laying a landing with a Texans group that’s 0-3 and is scoring 12.6 ppg. Nonetheless, the Titans’ protection seems to be to be a get-right opponent, having allowed extra factors and misplaced by an rising margin every week this season. 

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-5.5) over Carolina Panthers

Inside-the-boxscore stuff right here. Carolina beat Atlanta 30-0 regardless of getting outgained by 112 yards. New England misplaced 24-17, nevertheless it took 5 turnovers to get to that outcome, and the Patriots had an enormous 166-yard benefit. Drake Maye’s 72.6 completion share begins to translate into extra factors.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Keen to simply accept just a few factors with the Jaguars primarily based primarily on the 49ers harm report. Each Brock Purdy and backup Mac Jones are questionable; they might be down two receivers (Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall), and Nick Bosa is out for the season.

Trevor Lawrence will get an advantageous matchup in opposition to an ailing 49ers group. IMAGN IMAGES by way of Reuters Join

LOS ANGELES RAMS (-3.5) over Indianapolis Colts

Two angles on the Rams: 1. They have been ok to take a 26-7 lead over the Eagles in Philly. 2. They are going to be indignant and centered at residence after blowing stated lead. Wanting like mistaken place, mistaken time for Daniel Jones and the 3-0 Colts.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (+1) over Chicago Bears

The Raiders are 1-2 and averaging simply 14.6 ppg, nonetheless I feel ultimately there are going to be some good occasions for Carroll with Geno Smith, Brock Bowers, and Ashton Jeanty. Bears are permitting 31 ppg, so possibly that is the week for these to start.

Ashton Jeanty will get a extra inviting matchup in opposition to the Bears in Week 4. AP

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (+2.5) over Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore travels to Arrowhead on a brief week after a MNF pasting by the Lions and might be with out DT Nnamdi Madubuike. In the meantime, Xavier Worthy is prone to return for the Chiefs after Patrick Mahomes found one other weapon, Tyquan Thornton, within the win over the Giants.

Inexperienced Bay Packers (-7) over DALLAS COWBOYS

This can be a prime-time embarrassment spot for Jerry Jones as Micah Parsons takes goal at Dak Prescott, whereas CeeDee Lamb sits out. It doesn’t damage that the Packers are coming off a loss in Cleveland wherein they blew a 10-0 lead with lower than six minutes to go. 

Betting on the NFL?

Monday

MIAMI New York Jets (+2.5) over MIAMI DOLPHINS

Dolphins had just a few additional days off after their 31-21 loss at Buffalo, Tua Tagovailoa is 6-0 lifetime vs. the Jets, and the Jets protection suffered an enormous loss in Quincy Williams. Dolphins are giving up an NFL-worst 32.3 ppg, although, so it is a good probability for offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand to get issues finished with Garrett Wilson and Breece Corridor. 

DENVER BRONCOS (-7.5) over Cincinnati Bengals

Jake Browning has thrown 5 interceptions in a sport and a half since changing the injured Joe Burrow. The Broncos have a completely wholesome protection led by All-Professional CB Patrick Surtain II to throw at Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.

BEST BETS: Packers, Patriots, Raiders.

LOCK OF THE WEEK: Packers (Locks 1-2 in 2025).

LAST WEEK: 5-10-1 general, 0-2-1 Finest Bets.

THURSDAY: Seahawks.



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Tags: betsbettingbettor's guideGamenew york giantsnew york jetsNFLnfl bettingpickspredictionsSportsSports Bettingsports columnistsSports PicksSpreadWeek
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