Noah Lyles or Kishane Thompson: Who is the Olympic 100m Favorite?

Noah Lyles is the reigning world champion at 100m.

In his final race, he ran sooner than he ever has for 100m, a 9.81 private finest to win the London Diamond League closing.

But, he isn’t the betting favourite for the Paris Olympic 100m title. 

That title belongs to Kishane Thompson – the 23-year-old Jamaican champion who’ve by no means participated on the World Championships or Olympics. Thompson, who hasn’t misplaced a 100-meter race this 12 months; ran sub-9.85 in every of the three races on the Jamaican Championships – ending his spree with a 9.77 private finest within the closing. 

Kishane Thompson the Favourite within the Betting Markets

Embed from Getty Photographs

Fanduel Sportsbook, the most important sportsbook within the USA, has Thompson at +125 to win Olympic gold, which equates to a 44% probability of profitable. Lyles has the second-best odds at +170 or a 37% probability of profitable. Behind Thompson and Lyles are Indirect Seville (+750) and Letsile Tebogo (+1700).

Draft Kings, the #2 sportsbook within the US primarily based on dimension, charges Noah as +200 (33%) to win the 100m,  and Thompson -105 (51.2%). Don’t despair Lyles’ followers, meaning you can also make extra money on him if he wins.

Kambi Play which gives odds for primarily abroad sports activities books has Noah Lyles and Kishane Thompson at equal odds (2.25), which equates to +125 (44.4%) for each males, however we will’t discover a single sportsbook that lists Lyles forward of Thompson.

Good Information for Noah Lyles Followers – He’s Run the Quickest Wind Adjusted 100m within the World This Yr

Embed from Getty Photographs

Not solely did Lyles simply run the quickest 100m of his life (9.81) in London, however if you account for the .3 m/s headwind, his 9.81 100m is the same as 9.79 in wind impartial situations, in response to Jonas Mureika’s wind/altitude 100m converter.

Kishane Thompson’s 9.77 had a .9 m/s tailwind and converts to 9.81 wind impartial.

Athlete
Quickest 100m Time 2024
Wind
Wind Adjusted Time

Kishane Thompson
9.77
.9 m/s
9.81

Noah Lyles
9.81
-.3 m/s
9.79

So Noah Lyles has run the quickest wind-adjusted 100m this 12 months. Does that imply he’ll come out on prime on the Paris Olympics? Tune in 3:50pm jap on NBC on Sunday August 4th to search out out.

Dialogue: Is Noah Lyles a lock to win the 100m and 200m in Paris?*Evaluation of FanDuel’s odds for Males’s 100m Closing (when this thread was began 2 weeks in the past, Thompson was +200)