Oliveira Vs. Tsarukyan Betting Odds, Breakdown, Prediction

Final Preventing Championship (UFC) Light-weight killers Charles Oliveira vs. Arman Tsarukyan will go to warfare this weekend (Sat., April 13, 2024) inside T-Cell Enviornment in Las Vegas, Nevada, for UFC 300.

Oliveira continues to be in his prime. The previous champion demolished Beneil Dariush in his most up-to-date look (watch it), incomes a 155-pound title shot, however sacrificing the chance when a last-second lower derailed his would-be UFC 294 rematch versus Islam Makhachev. Now, he’ll need to tackle a critical problem in rising star Tsarukyan, who additionally smashed Dariush in his final bout. Like “Do Bronx,” Tsarukyan has prior historical past with the champion, and he’s hoping to safe the primary title shot of his UFC profession.

Let’s take a more in-depth have a look at the betting odds and strategic keys for every athlete:

Oliveira Vs. Tsarukyan Betting Odds

Charles Oliveira victory: +170

Charles Oliveira by way of TKO/KO/DQ: +800

Charles Oliveira by way of submission: +400

Charles Oliveira by way of resolution: +750

Arman Tsarukyan victory: -235

Arman Tsarukyan by way of TKO/KO/DQ: +120

Arman Tsarukyan by way of submission: +800

Arman Tsarukyan by way of resolution: +320

Draw: +5000

Odds by way of DraftKings Sportsbook

How Oliveira Wins

Oliveira is hands-down the best finisher in UFC historical past. He didn’t develop knockout energy or true confidence till later in his profession, which proved to be the lacking parts in making him a championship fighter.

Oliveira has fought loads of opponents within the mould of Tsarukyan. He’s an extremely athletic wrestler with energy in his palms — a blue chip prospect, certain, however not overly distinctive within the grand scheme of issues. “Do Bronx” has fought and beat males like him earlier than.

To win this battle, Oliveira has to stress with out getting sloppy (which is what occurred in opposition to Makhachev). The easy truth of the matter is that Tsarukyan’s protection within the pocket isn’t nice, whereas Oliveira has lead in his fists. If the 2 commerce for any size of time, I’d anticipate an Oliveira left hook to make an influence before later.

The wrestling is an fascinating difficulty as effectively. Tsarukyan is a good wrestler, actually able to taking Oliveira down with some effort. If that occurs, Oliveira ought to make it a degree to threaten submissions and use these threats to face or sweep. Tsarukyan is an athlete who explodes then has to get well, so if he expends quite a lot of power to attain a takedown and doesn’t truly safe place, Oliveira can have a window to actually assault.

How Tsarukyan Wins

Tsarukyan is about as bodily gifted as a fighter may be. He’s bought nice explosiveness, an incredible gasoline tank, and critical measurement for the 155-pound division. Wrestling and floor placing is his forte, however Tsarukyan has a slick kicking recreation and energy in his palms as well.

Just one man has defeated Oliveira within the final six years: Makhachev. It is sensible, then, that Tsarukyan ought to watch that battle intently and look to duplicate Makhachev’s success, notably since he shares a number of expertise with the champion.

There’s one thing of a false impression about why Makhachev received that bout: it wasn’t actually the wrestling. Oliveira truly grappled with Makhachev with out difficulty in spherical one and stopped a pair takedowns, too. In reality, it was Makhachev’s counter placing and endurance that received the battle: he kicked, countered and moved laterally till Oliveira ran himself right into a heavy shot, then Makhachev’s grappling took over the battle.

Tsarukyan needs to be trying to do the identical. Whether or not he intends to capitalize with double legs or counter punches, Tsarukyan has to maneuver and use his kicking recreation, permitting Oliveira’s aggression to offer his alternatives.

Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan Prediction

Y’all (which means the chances makers) should’ve forgot. Oliveira is without doubt one of the baddest Lightweights of all time, and these betting odds are downright disrespectful.

As defined above, Tsarukyan’s keys to victory contain endurance and protection — when have these ever been his robust go well with? Makhachev was one of many least-hit fighters in UFC historical past when he managed to diffuse Oliveira’s offense prices … and he nonetheless took some clear photographs. I don’t know that Tsarukyan has the vary management and luxury in exchanges crucial to completely copy that gameplan even when it’s in his greatest curiosity.

Extra possible, Tsarukyan tries to be evasive for a bit and is compelled to fulfill fireplace with fireplace. When that occurs, Oliveira goes to hit him, and I anticipate desperation wrestling from Armenian expertise.

Is there anybody higher at capitalizing on a determined opponent?

Prediction: Oliveira by way of knockout (+800)

Do not forget that MMAmania.com will ship LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow protection of the whole UFC 300 battle card proper right here, beginning with the early ESPN+ “Prelims” matches on-line, that are scheduled to start at 6 p.m. ET (simulcast on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET), earlier than the pay-per-view (PPV) primary card begin time at 10 p.m. ET (additionally on ESPN+).

To take a look at the newest and biggest UFC 300: “Pereira vs. Hill” information and notes remember to hit up our complete occasion archive proper right here.