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Home NBA

Stock Watch: Sweet 16 / Elite 8

March 30, 2026
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Stock Watch: Sweet 16 / Elite 8


The second weekend of the NCAA Event delivered precisely what makes March basketball unmatched, with elite competitors, dramatic finishes, and standout particular person performances throughout the board. The depth has ramped up with every spherical, and this 12 months’s occasion has greater than lived as much as the hype, offering probably the most entertaining tournaments in latest reminiscence. With the stakes at their highest, the Candy 16 and Elite Eight served as the proper analysis setting for NBA scouts, providing a transparent lens into how prospects carry out underneath stress in opposition to high competitors. Many projected first-rounders rose to the event, strengthening their circumstances on the largest stage. Now, with the Ultimate 4 formally set, the highlight solely grows brighter as these prospects look to hold their momentum into Ultimate 4 weekend.

Inventory Up:

Keaton Wagler (6-5, PG, Illinois, Fr.)

Wagler cemented himself as one of many largest winners of the event, guiding Illinois to a Ultimate 4 run whereas outshining fellow lead guard Bennett Stirtz alongside the best way. He has a particular late-game high quality, persistently rising to the second with confidence and creativity. Confirmed superior shot-making means, together with a number of acrobatic finishes, highlighted by a high-degree-of-difficulty off-glass conversion in visitors. There’s a clean, rhythmic type to his recreation that evokes shades of Tyrese Haliburton with a little bit of Brandon Roy blended in. His means to manage tempo, create underneath stress, and ship in huge moments has considerably boosted his inventory.

Cameron Boozer (6-10, PF, Duke, Fr.)

Boozer’s event run, regardless of ending in a heartbreaking one-point loss to UConn, solely strengthened his standing as one of many most secure bets within the class. Duke was positioned in a brutal area loaded with elite teaching and high-level applications, going through a real gauntlet that included St. John’s and UConn. By all of it, Boozer carried Duke in a means few gamers within the nation may, persistently making profitable performs on each ends whereas dealing with a large load. He posted 22 factors and 10 rebounds within the win over St. John’s and adopted it with 27 factors, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists in opposition to UConn, together with a clutch late basket that just about pushed Duke by. Contemplating he is without doubt one of the youthful gamers within the nation, his poise, toughness, and manufacturing are much more spectacular. Even in defeat, he carried himself like a professional, displaying management and composure. Boozer has a profitable make-up and total reliability that make him about as near bust-proof as a prospect may be, with a recreation that ought to translate no matter scenario.

Koa Peat (6-8, PF, Arizona, Fr.)

Peat has been a key catalyst in Arizona’s run to the Ultimate 4, persistently impacting video games along with his motor, physicality, and willingness to do the soiled work. He brings a robust presence on the glass, competes defensively, and makes a gentle stream of profitable performs that don’t all the time present up within the field rating. His toughness and consistency in high-stakes settings have helped solidify his standing as a dependable frontcourt contributor with upside. There are nonetheless some questions on his final positional match and long-term scoring ceiling, because the ability stage and offensive polish stay areas to watch, however his manufacturing and impression have been simple throughout this run.

Darius Acuff (6-2, PG, Arkansas, Fr.)

Acuff was extremely productive even within the loss to Arizona, ending with 28 factors whereas taking pictures 42.1% from the sphere and an environment friendly 78.6% from the road. He struggled from past the arc (1-5), however nonetheless persistently generated offense and put stress on the protection. His means to get downhill stays elite, utilizing his wiggle, first step, and velocity to create separation virtually at will. Even when the jumper isn’t falling, he finds methods to impression the sport by penetration and shot creation. Protection stays the swing ability, however his offensive flooring and skill to supply in opposition to high-level competitors proceed to face out.

Braydon Burries (6-4, PG, Arizona, Fr.)

Burries has emerged as Arizona’s most dependable offensive weapon throughout this run, persistently stepping up in huge moments. He held his personal in a high-profile matchup with Darius Acuff, ending with 23 factors within the win whereas displaying poise and effectivity. He adopted that with a robust Elite Eight efficiency in opposition to Purdue, pulling down 4-of-7 from three and spacing the ground at a excessive stage. Throughout each video games, he mixed shot-making with managed aggression, flashing the flexibility to attain throughout the move whereas nonetheless taking on when wanted. Burries has seemed like Arizona’s greatest participant at instances, and if the Wildcats full the run, he can be a significant purpose why. His mix of taking pictures, confidence, and manufacturing on the largest stage has considerably elevated his inventory, with a rising consensus starting to view him as a reliable top-10 choose.

Tarris Reed (6-10, C, UConn, Jr.)

Reed has been one of many largest winners of the event, enjoying a pivotal function in UConn’s run along with his bodily presence and inside manufacturing. He held his personal in opposition to Duke’s frontcourt, ending with 26 factors, 9 rebounds, and 4 blocks within the Elite Eight win, following a 20-point efficiency in opposition to Michigan State. Whereas he didn’t match up instantly with Cameron Boozer for prolonged stretches, he persistently impacted the sport along with his energy, rebounding, and rim safety. Reed’s means to anchor the paint, rating effectively inside, and compete at a excessive stage has considerably boosted his inventory. Regardless of ongoing taking pictures limitations, there are rising whispers of him working his means into the late first spherical.

Bennett Stirtz (6-4, PG, Iowa, Sr.)

Stirtz’s event run could have fallen simply wanting the Ultimate 4, nevertheless it considerably elevated his profile. He earned widespread respect for his toughness, really feel, and management, persistently controlling video games with poise and precision. A real pick-and-roll maestro, he processes the sport at a excessive stage, creating open appears to be like for teammates whereas dictating tempo. He strikes the ball rapidly, performs throughout the move, and infrequently will get sped up. Whereas not a high-level athlete, his dimension, imaginative and prescient, and competitiveness give him a robust basis as a dependable lead guard who can elevate group offense.

Jakobi Gillespie (6-1, PG, Tennessee, Sr.)

Gillespie performed a significant function in guiding Tennessee to the Elite Eight, persistently delivering with toughness, shot-making, and playmaking. He confirmed a knack for stepping up in huge moments, pulling down well timed threes and creating offense each for himself and others. His stat strains mirror his all-around impression, together with a 29-point, 9-assist efficiency within the opening spherical and a number of 20+ level efforts all through the event run. Gillespie’s willpower, management, and skill to manage the sport have considerably boosted his inventory. Whereas dimension stays a limiting issue, his manufacturing and clutch play have put him firmly on the radar as a possible draft choose.

Inventory Impartial

Braylon Mullins (6-6, SG, UConn, Fr.)

Mullins seemed headed firmly towards the inventory down class earlier than delivering the defining second of the event, pulling down a miraculous three with 0.4 seconds left to carry UConn previous Duke. It instantly stands as probably the most iconic pictures in NCAA Event historical past, showcasing his confidence and skill to rise underneath stress along with his clutch gene on full show. That second alone utterly flipped the narrative of his event. Nevertheless, the broader analysis stays blended. He struggled defensively and had problem creating high quality appears to be like and scoring effectively total, along with his lack of energy and total athleticism uncovered in opposition to high-level competitors, together with points backing down stronger gamers like Cayden Boozer. Previous to the game-winner, he had hit simply 10 of his final 58 three-point makes an attempt (17.2%), relationship again to a 1-for-10 outing within the common season finale, highlighting ongoing inconsistency. Mullins’ efficiency finally balances out, with the historic late-game heroics offsetting earlier considerations. He will get to combat one other day and has a possibility to proceed elevating his standing, however at this stage he seems more likely to profit from one other 12 months at UConn centered on bodily improvement.

Isaiah Evans (6-6, SG/SF, Duke, Soph.)

Evans picked a tricky time to vanish within the Elite Eight, ending with simply 7 factors on 2-of-6 taking pictures and 1-of-4 from three as Duke let a 19-point lead slip away. Nevertheless, his total event physique of labor stays stable. He delivered a standout Candy 16 efficiency in opposition to St. John’s with 25 factors, taking pictures 10-of-15 from the sphere and 4-of-8 from three, whereas additionally contributing 17 factors within the earlier spherical. Evans confirmed his means to house the ground, knock down pictures in rhythm, and produce inside Duke’s offense. Whereas the inconsistency in high-leverage moments raises some questions, his taking pictures profile, size, and scoring means proceed to level to robust long-term worth. He stays firmly within the combine as a possible top-20 choose, along with his total efficiency balancing out to a impartial inventory final result.

Milan Momcilovic (6-8, PF/SF, Iowa State, Soph.)

Momcilovic entered the event as arguably the highest pure shooter in school basketball, pulling down 49% from three on excessive quantity, a ability that continues to drive his intrigue on the subsequent stage. He confirmed effectively through the opening weekend, scoring 17 factors within the first spherical and following it up with 20 factors on environment friendly taking pictures in opposition to Kentucky. Nevertheless, he struggled within the Candy 16 loss to Tennessee, ending with simply 6 factors on 2-of-9 taking pictures and 1-of-4 from three, unable to search out constant rhythm. The general analysis stays balanced. His elite taking pictures means provides him a transparent NBA pathway and retains him within the dialog as a possible late first-round choose if he stays within the draft, however questions on consistency, total offensive versatility, and his means to protect in house and maintain up in opposition to extra athletic forwards on the subsequent stage stay.

Inventory Down

Nate Ament (6-9, SF, Duke, Fr.)

Ament confirmed flashes with a robust Candy 16 efficiency, ending with 18 factors on 6-of-10 taking pictures, together with 3-of-4 from three, however adopted it up with a tough Elite Eight outing in opposition to Illinois. He managed simply 7 factors on 2-of-12 taking pictures (0-of-3 from three), struggling to generate clear appears to be like and discover rhythm offensively. That efficiency, mixed with a scoreless displaying within the opening spherical, raises considerations about consistency and readiness in opposition to high-level competitors. Ament’s upside stays engaging on account of his dimension, fluidity, and skill to shoot over defenders, however he wants so as to add energy and toughness. There are actual questions on his means to create separation, significantly along with his first step, and whether or not he can persistently generate offense on the subsequent stage. Whereas the long-term potential remains to be there, this stretch may trigger him to slip out of the lottery as groups weigh upside in opposition to present limitations.

Kingston Flemings (6-4, PG, Houston, Fr.)

Flemings struggled in Houston’s loss to Illinois, with the group getting hit early and by no means recovering offensively. He appeared rattled by the physicality and tempo, and the shortage of offensive cohesion uncovered some present limitations. His jumper stays a significant space for enchancment and can probably require mechanical refinement. Whereas his long-term upside stays important, this stretch raises questions on his readiness and consistency in opposition to elite competitors.

Alex Karaban (6-8, SF, UConn, Sr.)

Karaban had a tough displaying in opposition to Duke, ending with simply 5 factors on 2-of-10 taking pictures and 1-of-6 from three. His effectivity took a noticeable hit, and his defensive task on Cameron Boozer appeared to put on on him over the course of the sport. Whereas Karaban’s taking pictures means and expertise stay interesting, performances like this spotlight the margin for error when his shot isn’t falling. With restricted alternatives remaining, this outing raises questions on consistency in opposition to high-level competitors.

Brandon Smith (6-0, PG, Gonzaga, Sr.)

Smith’s event run ended simply wanting the Ultimate 4, with a second-half ankle harm in opposition to Arizona limiting his effectiveness. Nonetheless, he leaves behind a historic school résumé because the all-time assists chief on the NCAA stage, highlighting his elite imaginative and prescient and playmaking instincts. His dimension stays a significant concern on the subsequent stage, although his 6-5 wingspan helps mitigate a few of these limitations. Regardless of the bodily questions, his really feel for the sport and skill to run a group ought to earn him severe draft consideration.

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