Ask an NBA fan about Jose Alvarado, and likelihood is the very first thing they bring about up is his protection.
And for good motive. The Puerto Rican guard who’s generously listed at 6-feet tall has made a reputation for himself within the basketball world over the previous half decade as one of many sports activities’ preeminent pests. He was named the 2021 ACC Defensive Participant of the Yr whereas enjoying at Georgia Tech, and he burst onto the NBA scene in 2022 with a trademark defensive transfer that has likewise turn into his official nickname — Grand Theft Alvarado.
Solely T.J. McConnell and his backcourt inbounds move steals rival Alvarado within the pure annoyance he causes the opponent.
New Orleans rightfully rewarded Alvarado with a brand new contract earlier than the 2024-25 season began, inking the previous undrafted free agent to a two-year, $9 million extension. A meager deal by the lofty requirements of the NBA, however life-changing cash all the identical.
However what if I advised you that the offensive worth Alvarado brings to the Pelicans is severely underrated, whereas the great he brings on protection might be a tad overhyped?
It looks as if a bold-faced lie on the floor, given his profession averages of seven.5 factors, 2.7 assists, and 34.2 % three-point capturing, mixed together with his ending within the 91st percentile of Defensive Estimated Plus-Minus final season. But it surely makes extra sense whenever you look at the essential circumstances surrounding Alvarado. NBA gamers who stand under 6-feet aren’t signed for his or her protection, the dimensions discrepancy is just too huge to beat. It’s a significant testomony to Alvarado’s talent that he averages out to a web impartial defender, somewhat than being a traditionally unhealthy defender like many of the 5’9 to five’11 gamers within the annals of basketball historical past.
Alvarado’s steals are enjoyable and extremely precious swings in every recreation, however he nonetheless provides loads of that worth again, particularly in how opponents can shoot over him with out a lot resistance. The Thunder discovered ample success within the playoffs attacking Alvarado with Jalen Williams and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, two jumbo ball handlers who might simply rise over him for a jumper at any time. His shot contests simply don’t hassle gamers who’re considerably taller than him.
(In equity, Alvarado additionally struggled on the offensive finish of the ground in that sequence, capturing 1-for-14 from three over the four-game sweep. He’s had a whole lot of superb moments in his profession. Final postseason was not one in every of them.)
What Alvarado brings on offense is an insertion of juice and verve that New Orleans can severely lack when he’s not on the court docket. Except Zion Williamson has it rolling, the Pels get stagnant, with a whole lot of dribbling and meandering into inefficient photographs. Alvarado makes use of his 18 minutes every recreation to constantly collapse the protection and assault with function. He hunts for top worth assists early and sometimes, particularly within the decide and roll, utilizing every kind of tough footwork and up fakes to create layups and dunks for his teammates.
It’s one factor to get an help for simply swinging the ball to an open teammate who cans a jumper. It’s one other to maneuver defenders a lot that your move basically creates a assured two factors to your offense.
In his profession, Alvarado’s assists outweigh his turnovers 455 to 161, good for a sterling 2.8 assist-to-turnover ratio. Taking pictures is commonly regarded as probably the most simply moveable talent in basketball — when you can hit an open three, you may play subsequent to some other participant in any offensive setting. However defenses are smarter than they have been 10 years in the past. They know find out how to punish gamers who rely solely on capturing and may’t assault or create off the dribble in a significant means, working them off the three-point line and daring them to make selections.
Good resolution making and the power to create off the dribble is the precise talent that the majority simply suits into any offense in 2024, and it’s what Alvarado does finest. Whether or not it’s creating the preliminary benefit himself, or sustaining a bonus created by a star like Williamson, the Pelicans can belief that each time the ball hits Alvarado’s fingers, he’s going to do one thing productive and useful with it. He doesn’t waste time dribbling into a nasty shot, or hesitate with an indecisiveness that kills the move of the offense. Reasonably, he can shoot at a suitable clip from distance, or prob together with his dribble till he finds an open teammate in an excellent higher place to attain.
Simply check out his shot chart from final season. Of the 345 discipline objectives he tried, solely 16 got here from the mid-range. Each different shot he took was a 3 or an try within the paint. The accuracy comes and goes, however for a Pelicans staff that’s full of mid-range operators, Alvarado’s dedication to make each shot a layup or a 3 blends properly.
Alvarado particularly delights within the artwork of transition threes, pulling up from deep earlier than the protection is ready and hitting them with a dagger. It’s philosophically aligned with the best way he performs protection. Each time he hides himself behind a degree guard initiating the offense, he’s taking an enormous gamble, betting that the potential payoff of him getting a shock steal outweighs the defensive hurt that might come from him trailing the play.
Likewise, some basketball watchers could be against capturing pull-up threes so early within the shot clock, significantly when the offense may need a numbers benefit. However Alvarado sees the profit to his strategic risk-taking. He swings video games together with his excessive leverage sequences on each ends of the ground, and in the long run it pays off to make him a particularly precious participant.
As his extension and modest enjoying time recommend, Alvarado continues to be removed from an ideal participant. His at-rim ending numbers usually are not good, as is the case for each 6-foot-and-under participant in NBA historical past not named Allen Iverson. Whereas he improved as a shooter to the purpose that he made 37% of his threes final season, he’s nonetheless vulnerable to an occasional chilly streak, and at instances a participant opposing defenses will assist off of. And as stated earlier than on his personal protection, the Grand Theft Alvarado steals assist elevate him out of the legal responsibility zone, however don’t transfer him into the echelon of the elite. Typically he makes an amazing learn and nabs a steal. Different instances he will get switch-hunted and scored on simply. It’s a give and take.
However time and time once more, he’s born out to be an enormous constructive for the Pelicans. In every of the final three seasons, New Orleans’ lineups that embody Alvarado have outscored opponents by at the very least 3.5 factors per 100 possessions, and in 2023-24, lineups with Alvarado had an astounding Internet score of +11.4 factors per 100 possessions, per Cleansing The Glass.
His vitality and burst infect everybody round him each time he fits up, not simply on protection, however on offense the place he kicks the staff’s motion into first gear and ruthlessly hunts out environment friendly appears to be like for himself and others. Subsequent time you speak about Jose Alvarado, don’t simply point out his protection. As a result of it’s his offense that secretly makes him nearly as good as he’s.
