The season is almost here … sort of: 100 days out, we have storylines, predictions and more

The 2025 NFL season is formally 100 days away, so I’ve written 100 issues to know.

They’re varied in class — vital names to know, improved groups, wage cap concerns, jersey quantity analytics, daring predictions, key returners from IR, and so on. You might learn them abruptly or, in case you like, deal with this like an Introduction calendar and skim just one day-after-day from now till kickoff on Sept. 4. (If any of you really try this, I’ll report you to the suitable authorities.)

Listed below are my 100 issues for 100 days earlier than the 2025 NFL season, beginning with 10 under-the-radar names.

Soar to a bit:Key names to know | Schedule featuresInteresting jobs to observe | Intrusive thoughtsMost improved groups | Least improved teamsBold predictions | Again from IR | Time beyond regulation musingsFinance gadgets of observe | Stat numbersJersey numbers | Ultimate ideas

10 names to know

They are going to be huge offers within the 2025 season. Meet them now and get forward of the curve.

Edgerrin Cooper, LB, Inexperienced Bay Packers

The sunshine bulb went on for Cooper final yr, as he rose from sub-package participant to 100% snap starter by season’s finish. From December on, I am undecided there have been 5 extra impactful linebackers in all of soccer. Cooper is extremely energetic in opposition to the run and a dependable tackler in area. He has the scale and athletic capacity to be a strong protection man. After he acquired one All-Professional vote final season, I would wager Cooper will get double-digit votes in 2025.

Elgton Jenkins, C, Inexperienced Bay Packers

Jenkins is without doubt one of the coolest gamers within the league. In six seasons, he has performed a minimum of 300 snaps at 4 of the 5 offensive line positions: each sort out spots, left guard and middle. The movie has been good in all places, too — absurd consistency. His final in depth expertise at middle was in 2020, however he is anticipated to fill that spot in 2025 after Josh Myers left for the Jets in free company. Jenkins is in a contract dispute with the Packers proper now, as he has two years left on his deal and reportedly needs his compensation to mirror his versatility. I agree with him. What a participant.

Editor’s Picks

2 Associated

Nick Caley, offensive coordinator, Houston Texans

I am all the time hesitant about later branches plucked off teaching bushes. The primary few Sean McVay assistants most likely have the products, however the fourth, fifth and sixth choices have been most likely behind the road for a purpose. However Caley, who spent the previous two years within the McVay incubator, was a longtime offensive coach for the Patriots earlier than becoming a member of the Rams, so he is not actually a unbroken chip off a chip off a chip off the block.

No offense was held again extra by teaching errors final season than Houston’s unit. If Caley is even league common as a 12 months 1 playcaller, count on the Texans to lastly ship on their 2024 preseason hype.

Kelee Ringo, CB, Philadelphia Eagles

The reigning Tremendous Bowl champions used the draft to deal with speedy wants of their protection, which was left naked by free agent departures. However they did not draft a cornerback till Spherical 5, leaving room for Ringo, a 2023 fourth-round decide, to win the beginning job reverse rookie star Quinyon Mitchell. Ringo has performed fewer than 400 defensive snaps in his two seasons as a professional, however he is simply turning 23 this summer season — the identical age as some rookies. He has elite athletic traits besides. If Ringo is prepared for his second, the Eagles’ protection seems adequately and quickly retooled for one more postseason push.

Al Golden, defensive coordinator, Cincinnati Bengals

Think about final season’s Bengals with a league-average protection. That is not only a playoff workforce. That is a workforce that would have crushed the Ravens, Payments, Chiefs or every other AFC contender in any playoff surroundings. The Bengals’ defensive depth chart stays a considerable obstacle to their ascension to league common, however outgoing coordinator Lou Anarumo ran a system famend for its complexity and wish for high quality communication, one thing that many younger defenders in Cincinnati struggled to know.

May Golden, who simply labored with younger gamers for 3 years at Notre Dame, supply a fast enhance to early draft picks like Dax Hill or Myles Murphy by simplifying their roles? I am not betting on a giant leap within the Bengals’ protection, however it’s a minimum of within the playing cards.

RJ Harvey, RB, Denver Broncos

Should you’re a fantasy participant, you already know what I am about to let you know, however let’s catch everybody else up to the mark. The Broncos, who’ve an unimaginable offensive line and a coach traditionally keen to contain the working again within the passing recreation, drafted Harvey within the second spherical. The 24-year-old carried a giant load at UCF, so he is presumably pro-ready for the first function within the backfield, and he confirmed some expertise within the passing recreation. The Broncos want higher performances from all their non-Courtland Sutton playmakers, and Harvey is first in line to offer that bounce.

Nate Wiggins, CB, Baltimore Ravens

Wiggins was nominally the Ravens’ CB2 final season, beginning as a rookie reverse veteran Brandon Stephens. However he was functionally their CB1. Extremely aggressive and bodily on the line of scrimmage, Wiggins performed his greatest ball in opposition to his greatest opponents (Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Malik Nabers). He wasn’t good, however rookie corners not often are. If he performs with higher consistency, he’ll be thought-about one of many league’s higher beginning corners. And the workforce is banking on that enchancment as a result of its outdoors nook depth behind Wiggins is perilously skinny. He must be the man.

Josh Grizzard, OC, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have achieved a uncommon and great factor this offseason: They’re slated to return all 11 starters from their 2024 offense. The one change is on the headset. Liam Coen left for the Jaguars’ head teaching job, and Grizzard was elevated from passing recreation coordinator to offensive coordinator.

Grizzard has had a fast rise within the NFL teaching ranks; he was first an offensive high quality management coach with the Dolphins in 2017 and had solely two years as a large receivers coach in Miami earlier than he acquired the job with the Bucs final season. At simply 34 years outdated, and with expertise underneath Mike McDaniel and Coen, it is truthful to have “subsequent huge factor” suspicions round Grizzard. If he can hold the prepare chugging from final season, the Bucs ought to have a top-10 offense once more.

Daiyan Henley, LB, Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers had a beginning linebacker spot up for grabs in 2024 after Kenneth Murray Jr. signed with the Titans in free company. Rookie Junior Colson was anticipated to fill it. He was the Michigan man, in any case, following his coach (Jim Harbaugh) and defensive coordinator (Jesse Minter) to the massive leagues. As an alternative, it was Henley, the 2023 third-rounder who performs a lot larger than his 6-foot-1, 230-pound body would recommend.

Henley has the instincts, quickness and tackling capacity to affect the sport sideline to sideline — one thing many linebackers aspire to do, however few can. He acquired 18 All-Professional votes in 2024 and deserved extra.

Deonte Banks, CB, New York Giants

Cornerback is a tough place. As a rookie in 2023, Banks regarded like a rising star. (Examine Wiggins above and simply change the names.) However Banks’ sophomore marketing campaign was plagued with psychological lapses, pointless dangers and misplaced 50-50 balls. The Giants hit on their slot nook (Dru Phillips), added a beginning security (Jevon Holland) and snagged a brand new CB1 in free company (Paulson Adebo). So a return to 2023 kind for Banks might properly elevate the Giants’ secondary to top-10 ranges. And in case you begin doing the mathematics on a protection with a top-10 go rush and a top-10 secondary …

9 attention-grabbing schedule options

As a result of that is all the time what we discuss in Might.

In Week 1, the Chiefs play the Chargers in Brazil at 8 p.m. ET, streaming solely on YouTube. You get to elucidate to your dad and mom (1) why there is a recreation on Friday evening, (2) why it is in Brazil and (3) learn how to discover it on yet one more new streaming service. Congrats!

New Patriots receiver Stefon Diggs returns to Buffalo in Week 5 — his first recreation at Orchard Park since he left the Payments earlier than the 2024 season.

The Eagles and Packers play in Week 10. It is the Tush Pushers in opposition to The Guys Who Tried To Ban Tush-Pushing. I’ve by no means been extra excited for an eventual fourth-and-1.

Ben Johnson’s Bears meet his outdated Lions in Week 2. I will guess you $100 proper now the Bears rating on a trick play.

One other good Bears recreation comes in opposition to the Cowboys in Week 3. Former Chicago head coach Matt Eberflus is the brand new Cowboys defensive coordinator, and expunged coaches typically produce robust performances when revenge is on the desk.

To that finish, new Patriots coach Mike Vrabel will get his first crack on the Titans in Week 7 in Nashville. Vrabel was the Titans’ head coach from 2018 to 2023.

New Steelers receiver DK Metcalf will get an early assembly with the Seahawks, going through his outdated workforce in Week 2. Metcalf clearly had monetary frustrations with Seattle however acquired an enormous contract from the Steelers as a part of his offseason commerce. It appears like an excellent likelihood to point out the outdated guys why he was value each penny.

One other revenge recreation, although this one might not be all that vengeful. The Panthers and 49ers play in Week 12, which pits Christian McCaffrey in opposition to his outdated workforce for the primary time. I am undecided if McCaffrey really holds any type of ailing emotions in regards to the Panthers, however I suppose we’ll discover out.

I did not understand this till I noticed Jaguars reporter Michael DiRocco’s observe in our full schedule preview: The Jaguars and Texans have not performed for the reason that Azeez Al-Shaair hit that ended Trevor Lawrence’s 2024 season and incited a bench-clearing brawl. Properly, they will play in Week 3. Count on some pregame shenanigans and first drive tone-setting.

11 jobs with query marks

A few of them are up for grabs. Others are on sizzling seats.

Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel

I imagine two issues very strongly. First, McDaniel’s work constructing an offense round QB Tua Tagovailoa is a number of the greatest offensive scheming within the league. Second, his offense fades in opposition to actually nice defenses, in chilly climate and on the highway — briefly, playoff soccer. The Dolphins want a powerful season from their protection, which might have an especially inexperienced and shaky secondary following a Jalen Ramsey commerce, to make a postseason push. In any other case, it will be 4 seasons with out a playoff victory underneath McDaniel — robust to defend.

Panthers quarterback Bryce Younger

What a turnaround it has been for Younger, who’s the unquestioned starter in Carolina lower than 9 months after he was benched within the 2024 season. Younger was miles higher post-benching than he was earlier than, however the hay is not within the barn simply but. Beginning in Week 5, Younger was fourth in completion share over expectation (NFL Subsequent Gen Stats) however thirty first in off-target price. Which means he was connecting together with his receivers on high-leverage throws deep downfield, which is explosive but additionally unsustainable. Confidence is excessive, although, and he has earned the appropriate to construct on his enchancment.

Texans WR2

Getting into final season, the Texans’ goal hierarchy was clear: Nico Collins, then Tank Dell, then Stefon Diggs, then Dalton Schultz. Getting into this season, it’s something however clear. Collins and Schultz are nonetheless round, however Diggs joined the Patriots and Dell’s main knee damage leaves each WR2 and WR3 spots up for grabs.

For the 2 open battles, the Texans drafted two rookies, each from Iowa State: Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel. They will compete with Christian Kirk for a all of a sudden giant pile of targets. Houston desperately wants to have the ability to punish groups that double-cover Collins and should hit on a type of rookies — or see a giant post-injury resurgence from Kirk — to tug it off.

Colts GM Chris Ballard

The Colts haven’t made the playoffs prior to now 4 seasons and haven’t gained a playoff recreation prior to now six seasons, all underneath Ballard’s course. They’ve poured loads of assets into the passing assault over the previous few offseasons. Apart from drafting QB Anthony Richardson, the Colts spent early picks on WR Josh Downs (third spherical), WR Alec Pierce (second spherical), WR Adonai Mitchell (second spherical) and TE Tyler Warren (first spherical). They prolonged Michael Pittman Jr. They signed Daniel Jones.

If the Colts can’t work out a passing offense this season, this time subsequent yr is ripe for a tough reset in any respect key positions: quarterback, head coach and even common supervisor.

Compensate for the NFL offseason

• Offseason dates | OTAs and minicamps• 10 lingering questions | 2025 schedules• Draft decide evaluation | Kiper’s draft grades• Free company grades | Prime remaining FAsDraft | Free company | Teaching hires

Colts quarterback

It is uncommon to see an precise open camp battle at quarterback, however that is what we have right here in Indianapolis. The camp battle format — throws in opposition to air with no dwell tackling or go rush — skews towards Daniel Jones, who additionally has the benefit of being the brand new child on the block. However Anthony Richardson nonetheless has the potential to be the way forward for the franchise, whereas Jones can be a stopgap. Make sure to put your notifications on for Colts reporter Stephen Holder. That is going to be a barn burner!

Saints quarterback

In contrast to the Colts’ battle, I am uncertain that this one is definitely actual. However in keeping with new coach Kellen Moore, second-year professional Spencer Rattler will battle 2025 draft choice Tyler Shough for the QB1 spot following Derek Carr’s retirement.

The tea leaves learn to me thusly: The Saints have been joyful to spend one other yr with Carr on the helm, however then they acquired the unhealthy information about his throwing shoulder, suspected his retirement and prioritized an early quarterback choice with Shough at No. 40. This teaching employees was not round when Rattler was drafted, and if it had actual curiosity in him as a developmental starter, it would not have taken Shough as extremely because it did.

Chiefs left sort out

I am undecided when the Chiefs final had a bona fide good left sort out. It was doubtlessly Orlando Brown Jr. within the 2022 season, however I would argue he is extra round league common. Kansas Metropolis would do something for a median left sort out, nonetheless, given the way in which the place has restricted the offense prior to now couple of seasons.

The Chiefs took two high-reward swings with the signing of Jaylon Moore and drafting of Josh Simmons, however each are additionally high-risk. Moore wasn’t a starter in San Francisco, and Simmons is coming off a significant knee damage at Ohio State. Regardless, the Chiefs are probably — however not assured — to get the purposeful play they so desperately want.

Bengals proper guard

Staying on our theme of AFC contenders and key offensive line positions, the Bengals are filling the sneakers of Alex Cappa (launched as a cap casualty) with both incumbent Cody Ford or free agent addition Lucas Patrick. Neither is an exhilarating possibility, which leaves the door open for rookie third-rounder Dylan Fairchild to win the spot. Guard play was a giant situation for this workforce final season, and Joe Burrow’s damage historical past makes poor go safety really feel all of the extra regarding.

Steelers quarterback

Do not really watch this job. Regardless of the outcome, it is going to be too painful to even observe. Mason Rudolph in opposition to Skylar Thompson and Will Howard with the hope that Aaron Rodgers exhibits up? I might by no means.

Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski

I don’t know what the goalposts are for Stefanski this season, however the workforce was 3-14 final yr, and one other three-win season would not shock me within the slightest. I’ll say this with full conviction: Stefanski looks like a superb veteran OC retread possibility if and when the Browns clear home. He has made the perfect out of the Browns’ QB carousel and navigated main offensive accidents over the previous two seasons.

Cowboys working again

The Cowboys have been seemingly unhappy with their committee method that includes Rico Dowdle and Ezekiel Elliott final season. However for some purpose past my understanding, they’re set to enter camp with a committee that includes Javonte Williams, Miles Sanders and rookie fifth-rounder Jaydon Blue. Certainly this yr the Cowboys will not be punished by not having a again they will belief!

14 intrusive ideas

These are issues I believe I believe, however I don’t but know precisely learn how to specific them. Don’t choose me.

There are two groups that would moderately challenge as having the perfect offensive line and the perfect protection for the 2025 season: Minnesota and Denver. As such, Minnesota and Denver register as “Tremendous Bowl darkish horses” on my “What kind of contender are you?” scale earlier than I even know something about their respective younger quarterbacks.

Here’s a checklist of issues I imagine:

Garrett Wilson is the perfect receiver Justin Fields has performed with in his NFL profession.

Wilson is the WR1 with the largest hole in high quality between him and his WR2 in all the league.

Wilson has performed totally on exhausting mode (a variety of press protection, downfield routes, contested balls, and so on.), and new coordinator Tanner Engstrand will prioritize getting him simpler targets.

As such, I’ve a nagging suspicion that Wilson will lead the league in receiving yards in 2025.

ESPN BET ranks the most definitely NFC representatives for the Tremendous Bowl on this order: Eagles, Lions, 49ers, Commanders, Packers, Rams, Vikings and Buccaneers.

I might have the Buccaneers over each workforce apart from the Eagles. Perhaps tied with the Lions and Rams, however no decrease than that.

If the Dolphins commerce Jalen Ramsey, their beginning secondary will probably be Storm Duck and Cam Smith at outdoors nook, Kader Kohou within the nickel and Ashtyn Davis and Ifeatu Melifonwu at security. I am sorry to say that is an early candidate for “worst place group” within the league.

For an additional yr, the best non-quarterback aggressive benefit within the NFL is that of Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores. He’s unquestionably one of many 32 (if not 20) greatest coaches in soccer and a transparent and apparent head teaching candidate, if not for the truth that he’s suing the league.

This is one thing I battle to place into phrases. (Sure, all the time good to jot down that sentence simply earlier than publishing one thing.) Jayden Daniels had a traditionally productive rookie quarterback season. The Commanders’ fan base and workforce brass ought to really feel assured and impressed about the way forward for the place. Nonetheless, I am nonetheless as — if no more — impressed by how properly Drake Maye performed on that horrible Patriots offense final season.

Statistically, he did not maintain a candle. However diploma of issue? Maye was taking part in a totally totally different sport. I will put it this manner and hope metropolitan D.C. does not come for my head: Patriots followers ought to really feel as assured and impressed about their future at quarterback as Commanders followers do proper now.

What if Michael Penix Jr. struggles loads? The Atlanta quarterback began solely three video games, and whereas he had moments of excellent, he had loads of unhealthy, too. What if Penix begins sluggish and Kirk Cousins remains to be on the roster? What if the Falcons, who haven’t made the playoffs in eight seasons (wild!), shocked the world with an excellent aggressive funding in QB2 after which compelled him into motion manner sooner than anticipated — just for that QB2 to not be prepared?

The entire eggs are all of a sudden in that Penix basket.

Sorry, Falcons followers, however there aren’t two sides to that coin. I believe J.J. McCarthy might be the Twenty fourth-best quarterback within the league subsequent season and the Vikings would nonetheless win 12 video games. That is the distinction between a well-built roster and a haphazardly constructed one.

The Texans have made consecutive AFC divisional rounds, however we do not discuss them like we speak in regards to the Ravens or Payments. I believe that is unsuitable. The Texans’ protection can get burned in its aggressive fashion (see: all video games in opposition to Lamar Jackson), however over the previous two seasons, it has proven up in key postseason moments and in opposition to prime opponents as a rule. The Texans’ offense disenchanted final season, however the potential for a right away bounce-back is there underneath a brand new teaching employees.

ESPN BET has the Texans with the sixth-best odds to win the AFC. They’re behind the Bengals and Chargers, which simply does not mirror the fact of these three groups over the previous few seasons. I am shopping for Houston.

I believe the one greatest transfer within the offseason, bar none, with out query, all issues thought-about, was the Payments in some way signing Khalil Shakir to a four-year deal value solely $13.25 million per yr. Darnell Mooney cash? I nonetheless cannot imagine it. Shakir goes to have his first 1,000-yard season in 2025.

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I want the Broncos made a splashier transfer within the talent place group. After they lined up in opposition to Buffalo within the wild-card spherical, their offense merely didn’t current sufficient hazard to a well-coached, deep Payments protection. Since then, they’ve added Evan Engram, RJ Harvey and Pat Bryant — a veteran tight finish and two rookies. I am imagining this offense as soon as once more lining up in opposition to Buffalo and feeling a lot the identical manner.

Surprise what the commerce deadline finally ends up trying like for this workforce.

The Commanders’ greatest go rusher proper now could be Frankie Luvu, which is a bit of bizarre as a result of he is an off-ball linebacker. The precise defensive ends are Dorance Armstrong, Jacob Martin, Clelin Ferrell and Deatrich Sensible Jr. I … do not love that for a presumed Tremendous Bowl hopeful.

I do not assume I’ve the fortitude to endure a whole offseason of Browns QB battle updates. Shedeur Sanders hype as he is throwing to — and in opposition to — fourth-stringers. Kenny Pickett with the primary workforce in 2025. I am unable to do it. I am not robust sufficient.

If we do not get a cool trick play landing on the brand new kickoff, I will file a grievance with the league workplace. We have all had a full season and two offseasons to take a look at it. Any person dial up a reverse, please.

Three most improved groups

Wow, they acquired higher!

Las Vegas Raiders (4-13 in 2024)

No workforce made larger strides on the two most vital positions than the Raiders. Geno Smith is a number of tiers higher than Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell, which ought to present weekly above-average quarterback play. Pete Carroll is a number of tiers higher at head coach than Antonio Pierce, who struggled with in-game and locker room administration. These modifications alone ought to massively elevate the Raiders’ ground, and the presence of potential offensive stars reminiscent of Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty elevate the ceiling.

I count on the Raiders to be round .500 this season, as long as they endure the defensive departures.

Chicago Bears (5-12 in 2024)

It has been 5 months for the reason that 2024 common season ended, and we’re nonetheless uncovering extra layers of the teaching ineptitude in Chicago. Caleb Williams’ rookie season was rife with regarding movie, however it’s fairly simple to attribute his spiraling to the poor teaching. With Ben Johnson readily available and Dennis Allen working the protection, the Bears needs to be way more purposeful in 2025. Their substantial offseason additions on offense might outline a really excessive ceiling, in the event that they hit.

New England Patriots (4-13 in 2024)

I am thrilled with Drake Maye’s rookie efficiency and long-term potential, and I am equally stoked in regards to the Patriots’ offseason. They’re banking on a younger offense, which can reap extra rewards in 2026 than in 2025. However defensively, they’re poised for a giant leap following loads of free agent acquisitions.

I believe Maye can lug the offense into a good tier on his personal, whereas a top-flight secondary with cornerbacks Carlton Davis III and Christian Gonzalez can win a number of video games on protection alone.

Three least improved groups

Yeah, they acquired worse.

Philadelphia Eagles (14-3 in 2024)

It isn’t notably revolutionary to say that the Tremendous Bowl champion goes to have a hangover, however boy howdy did the Eagles lose a variety of expertise. In actual fact, 4,114 defensive snaps from 2024 are out the door with defensive linemen Milton Williams, Josh Sweat and Brandon Graham and defensive backs C.J. Gardner-Johnson, Darius Slay Jr. and Isaiah Rodgers. After all, they’ve younger gamers ready within the wings, however I would count on a rocky begin as they shake off the cobwebs. The Eagles begin with the Cowboys, Chiefs, Rams, Bucs and Broncos — 5 potential playoff groups. Issues might get squirrelly.

Seattle Seahawks (10-7 in 2024)

The Seahawks’ offseason acquired a ton of protection, so we need not rehash all of it. However when Geno Smith, Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf go away the constructing for Sam Darnold, Cooper Kupp and Marquez Valdes-Scantling, you are downgraded in my eyes. The offensive line nonetheless has huge query marks, even when rookie Gray Zabel performs properly. Coach Mike Macdonald labored wonders with this protection final season and should achieve this once more this yr.

Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7 in 2024)

The Steelers swapped George Pickens and Van Jefferson for DK Metcalf and Robert Woods, which does not really feel that a lot better, if in any respect. They swapped Najee Harris for Kaleb Johnson, which once more does not really feel nice. The departure of Dan Moore Jr. at left sort out looms giant on offense, as properly. Oh, and there is the little matter of the quarterback place.

Even when Aaron Rodgers indicators with the Steelers, I am not satisfied the offense is best than final season — and for the (decently huge!) likelihood Rodgers doesn’t be a part of the Steelers, this workforce is clearly worse than in 2024. Nonetheless, as all the time with a Mike Tomlin-coached workforce, that lower in workforce energy might not result in an precise lower in win whole.

10 daring predictions that you simply should not combination — until they find yourself being appropriate

Please don’t attempt to screenshot these. It is going to trigger your cellphone/pc/pill to blow up.

Rams rookie tight finish Terrance Ferguson will supplant Tyler Higbee because the starter by Week 5 and finish the season because the second-best goal in L.A. behind Puka Nacua (and forward of Davante Adams). Name it 63 catches, 821 yards and 6 scores.

The Packers will miss the playoffs. I believe two of the largest nonnegotiables for playoff groups are having a go rush and a dominant receiver. The Packers undoubtedly haven’t got the primary and nonetheless may not have the second, even after drafting Matthew Golden in Spherical 1. They have been plus-12 in turnover differential final season, which ranked third within the NFL, however that tends to not be a sticky quantity. (I’m additionally trying on the plus-24 Payments with supreme suspicion.)

Mykel Williams will win Defensive Rookie of the 12 months. If the 49ers unleash him as a go rusher in a manner that Georgia by no means did — and if his left ankle is wholesome — he has a fantastic pass-rush profile for early success. He’ll additionally not often see double groups reverse Nick Bosa. A ten-plus-sack season is properly throughout the playing cards. (And if he does not win this award, Browns linebacker Carson Schwesinger will.)

Omarion Hampton will win Offensive Rookie of the 12 months. I believe he’ll rapidly out-touch Najee Harris, and I believe the Chargers wish to return to a extra run-heavy method after turning pass-heavy out of necessity late final season. He’ll outproduce fellow first-rounder Ashton Jeanty, too. I see a 1,200-rushing-yard season incoming.

The primary, collective swell of a fan base eager to tank for the Arch Manning decide will come Oct. 5, when the Browns begin 0-5. (Their early-season schedule is brutal.) Manning can have simply crushed the Florida Gators on Oct. 4 in a blinding four-touchdown efficiency. The rallying cry will probably be “The March to Arch,” or probably “Planning for Manning.”

Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. will set an NFL report with 12 video games of a minimum of 100 receiving yards. He had 4 final season, and three got here within the last 4 weeks.

By this time subsequent yr, we’ll all name Brock Bowers the perfect tight finish in soccer, and no one will flinch even a bit of bit.

The Panthers will go 9-8. I am not even certain I really imagine this, as I’ve my Bryce Younger doubts. However what I like a lot in regards to the Panthers is what’s round Younger. Dave Canales has the products and seems to be a future Coach of the 12 months. Defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero has the products and seems to be a future head coach. Many latest additions — Robert Hunt, Xavier Legette, Tetairoa McMillan, Tre’von Moehrig, Nic Scourton, Princely Umanmielen, and so on. — are gamers I’ve appreciated above consensus, too.

I am assured the arrow is pointed up in Carolina. If there’s something actual in Younger’s resurgence, the Panthers needs to be combating for a wild-card spot.

Cardinals QB Kyler Murray has 82 profession begins with out a playoff win, which appears like loads however is simply tied for twenty ninth out of all quarterbacks since 1950. Chargers QB Justin Herbert is simply behind him with 79.

One of many two will get their first postseason win this season. Perhaps each. (OK, most likely only one.)

The Geno Smith profession resurrection got here in 2022. The Baker Mayfield profession resurrection got here in 2023. The Sam Darnold profession resurrection got here in 2024. Now the Justin Fields profession resurrection will are available 2025. Watch him hit 3,000 passing yards, 900 dashing yards and 30 whole touchdowns.

16 gamers coming back from injured reserve

It is simple to neglect what number of gamers missed a bunch of video games final season. These are the important thing returners anticipated to play huge roles in 2025.

Rashee Rice, WR, Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

Rice was taking part in properly final season, however you may not keep in mind simply how properly he was taking part in earlier than a proper knee damage put him on IR. In three video games, Rice had 24 catches for 288 yards and two scores. That is a 17-game tempo of 136 catches for 1,632 yards and 11 touchdowns. Rice would have been the season chief in receptions and second solely to Ja’Marr Chase in receiving yards had he stayed wholesome and on tempo.

Rice will not take the identical quantity, given the way in which Xavier Worthy emerged as an beneath goal, however he has the scale and ball-winning capacity the Chiefs sorely lacked down the stretch.

Aidan Hutchinson, Edge, Detroit Lions

Maybe the highest-profile damage of 2024 was Hutchinson’s season-ending damaged leg in Week 6, as he joined what would grow to be an avalanche of Detroit defensive accidents. Hutchinson was a Defensive Participant of the 12 months front-runner when he went down, with league-leading figures in sacks (6.5), QB hits (14) and pressures (25). Detroit invested closely within the defensive sort out place this offseason, however edge rusher stays a skinny group apart from Hutchinson. His return to full well being is crucial to Detroit’s Tremendous Bowl aspirations.

Derrick Barnes, LB, Detroit Lions

Aidan Hutchinson is the larger identify, however Barnes has been vital to the Lions’ protection for years and was rewarded with a three-year extension whilst he returns from a knee damage. Barnes is an old-school linebacker who can play on- and off-ball, and with ex-linebackers coach Kelvin Sheppard now the defensive coordinator, I would count on to see Barnes featured. He is a giant a part of the run protection and helps liberate Hutchinson to hurry off the weak aspect.

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Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers

The 4 video games through which McCaffrey performed final season have been regarding. NFL Subsequent Gen Stats had his most speeds in these 4 video games at 16.4, 16.7, 16.1 and 17.4 mph. For context, that 17.4 mph mark would have been his fifth worst in a recreation throughout the 2023 season, when he was the MVP of the 49ers’ Tremendous Bowl-bound offense. He clearly regarded much less springy in 2024 than he did in 2023; the truth is, he regarded like a participant who had a cool 417 touches within the earlier season.

It is exhausting for working backs’ our bodies to endure the extent of use McCaffrey endured in 2023, however not unimaginable. We’ll know rapidly if his physique has bounced again for 2025 after lacking time for Achilles and knee accidents in 2024.

Lloyd Cushenberry III, C, Tennessee Titans

Cushenberry signed one of many largest contracts amongst facilities final offseason when he joined the Titans in free company. He was delivering, too, earlier than a torn Achilles ended his season in Week 9. If he can return to full energy for Week 1, that is a gigantic deal because the Titans onboard rookie Cam Ward. Nothing steadies a younger passer fairly like a veteran presence at middle.

Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed, WRs, New Orleans Saints

The Saints’ offense began so sizzling and fell so exhausting largely due to the accidents to Olave and Shaheed. Shaheed is anticipated to be all the way in which again after knee surgical procedure in October. Olave suffered the fourth concussion of his NFL profession and missed the Saints’ last eight video games of the season. If New Orleans has any hope of a purposeful 2025 offense, it wants Olave to remain protected and wholesome and Shaheed to return to full velocity.

Alex Singleton, LB, Denver Broncos

Singleton tore his left ACL in Week 3, which might have been a debilitating damage for the Broncos’ protection, however they rallied properly with huge performances from Cody Barton and Justin Strnad. The Broncos let Barton stroll in free company and signed Dre Greenlaw to switch him, however Singleton is anticipated to start out over Strnad if he is again to kind in coaching camp. The Broncos’ protection, which was among the finest in soccer final season, can in some way nonetheless take one other step ahead with offseason acquisitions and the return of Singleton.

SirVocea Dennis, LB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

When Dennis was wholesome final season, he was combating Ok.J. Britt for the beginning linebacker spot reverse Lavonte David — and he was profitable that competitors. Dennis notably impressed in protection over the center of the sphere, and after his Week 4 shoulder damage, the Buccaneers began getting hammered within the intermediate center by opposing quarterbacks.

Tampa Bay handed fully on the linebacker place within the 2025 draft and let Britt go in free company. With solely Anthony Walker Jr. as depth, the Buccaneers have clearly positioned their religion in Dennis to play nearly all of the snaps reverse David. Tampa Bay’s go protection was the limiting think about its postseason push final season, and Dennis ought to present a lift there.

Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Aiyuk broke out in 2023 with 1,342 receiving yards as the first goal for Brock Purdy on a Tremendous Bowl run. Then 2024 was presupposed to be the encore, because the 49ers took one other crack at a championship, however Aiyuk had solely 374 yards on 25 catches by way of the primary seven video games. There have been some near-misses and rust to start out the season, however Aiyuk nonetheless regarded like a fantastic separator on movie … earlier than a torn ACL and MCL in Week 7. With Deebo Samuel Sr. gone to the Commanders, Aiyuk desperately must return to kind as a dominant WR1 after final yr’s face-plant of a season.

Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

Issues weren’t notably rosy for the 3-4 Cowboys earlier than Prescott went down with a hamstring avulsion (do not ask me, I do not know) in Week 9, and a training change was made accordingly. Prescott was squarely within the MVP race for a lot of the 2023 season, so the ceiling for high-caliber play remains to be there — and the acquisition of George Pickens provides the Cowboys a legit duo at extensive receiver. Ought to Prescott return to his 2023 kind, a minimum of the Cowboys’ passing assault will probably be one thing fearsome. Who precisely finally ends up working the soccer, I nonetheless do not totally perceive.

Troy Fautanu, OT, Pittsburgh Steelers

Fautanu performed only one recreation as a rookie earlier than a dislocated kneecap knocked him out for the remainder of his debut marketing campaign. It is all the time robust for rookies who miss their first yr to maintain up with the developmental curve, however the Steelers want him to remain on monitor. He’s the one reply at proper sort out, as Broderick Jones has to maneuver over to left sort out following Dan Moore Jr.’s departure in free company. For what it is value, I simply watched that one begin again on tape (Week 2 in opposition to the Broncos). Not unhealthy!

Jaelan Phillips, Edge, Miami Dolphins

Miami’s defensive entrance — and specifically, its go rush — was a power to be reckoned with down the stretch final season. First-round decide Chop Robinson instantly hit, with the next stress price (17.2%) than eventual Defensive Rookie of the 12 months Jared Verse. His fast first step will look nice reverse technician and sack artist Phillips, who missed all however three video games of the season with a torn ACL. It stays to be seen how rapidly Phillips can return to kind, however with Robinson, Phillips and Bradley Chubb all on the sphere on late downs, the Dolphins might have probably the most disruptive fronts in soccer.

Andrew Thomas, OT, New York Giants

Thomas, whom I take into account one of many higher left tackles within the recreation and nonetheless an ascending participant, had Lisfranc surgical procedure and missed each recreation after Week 6. There wasn’t a lot happening with the Giants’ season anyway, but when they’ve any hope of creating rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart, guaranteeing a sealed blind aspect is a nonnegotiable. Lisfranc accidents may be nasty, lingering issues, so Thomas’ well being and kind are one thing to regulate.

Jermaine Johnson, Edge, New York Jets

A 2022 first-rounder, Johnson took a giant step ahead in 2023 with 7.5 sacks, 36 pressures and 16 QB hits. Sadly, a torn Achilles in Week 2 stopped us from seeing what one other leap would have regarded like in 2024, and now a brand new defensive teaching employees has taken the reins in New York. Johnson has the scale that new coach Aaron Glenn covets in his edge defenders and needs to be in line for a beginning gig. However can he return to 2023 kind off a significant damage and in a brand new system?

Dax Hill, DB, Cincinnati Bengals

Very attention-grabbing one right here. The Bengals picked up Hill’s fifth-year possibility off his ACL damage — $12.7 million, all assured — with out readability on how Hill will probably be utilized in new defensive coordinator Al Golden’s protection. Hill has began nearly all of his profession at security however wasn’t nice there. It appeared he might have transitioned properly to nook in 2024, however he performed solely 5 video games and was nonetheless working by way of the warts. There’s smoke now that he is likely to be the brand new nickelback since Mike Hilton stays unsigned.

The place precisely Hill performs and what the Bengals get out of him there are huge query marks for a protection in want of splashy gamers.

One overtime-related take that I needed to deliver up however did not actually match within the different classes

It isn’t even actually a take. Only a musing.

New additional time guidelines! All regular-season additional time video games will now comply with the postseason guidelines of the previous few seasons, that means every offense is assured a possession. An offensive landing on the opening drive not ends the additional time interval. If the sport stays tied after every workforce has a drive, then sudden dying begins — however the additional time interval is simply 10 minutes lengthy.

There’s some severe additional time recreation concept for the winner of the coin toss now. The workforce with the latter possession can have a variety of info that can dictate fourth-down choices. Do they want a landing to win? And even to increase the sport? A sensible second-possession workforce will go for 2-point tries and fourth-down makes an attempt to try to forestall a 3rd possession from ever occurring. So the second possession feels extra invaluable.

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However keep in mind, the first-possession workforce is the third-possession workforce, and the third possession is when sudden dying begins. So having the ball first (and subsequently third) can also be good. See the confusion?

The brand new regular-season additional time is complicated and never utterly solved, which implies that by Week 4, we can have huge web arguments in stark black and white about one thing that’s largely grey.

4 key monetary gadgets

It is all in regards to the cash, cash, cash. Keep in mind that track?

Since Brock Purdy signed his five-year, $265 million extension, I’ve discovered myself reflecting on the whole lot the 49ers misplaced in anticipation of this huge contract. Have a look at the free agent exodus of the previous few seasons: Mike McGlinchey, Chase Younger, Arik Armstead, Aaron Banks, Dre Greenlaw, Talanoa Hufanga, Charvarius Ward, Jaylon Moore, Javon Hargrave and Deebo Samuel Sr. That is a variety of expertise out of the constructing, however not with out good purpose. Age, diminished play and damage have been all elements. Nonetheless, it is the inescapable bloodletting of a workforce on the finish of a Tremendous Bowl window. Is all of it actually value it?

Then I keep in mind that this was all the time the plan. When the 49ers drafted Trey Lance with the third total decide in 2021, they anticipated a quarterback to start out getting costly across the 2025, possibly 2026 season. Purdy is stylistically totally different from what the 49ers hoped to get with Lance. He is extra of an extension of Kyle Shanahan’s present philosophy, whereas Lance was meant to be a revolution. However the cap sheets look comparable; Purdy’s monetary arc is about what the 49ers anticipated with Lance.

I’m not ringing any alarm bells, however I discover it attention-grabbing that T.J. Watt is within the last yr of his cope with just about no smoke about an upcoming extension. I discover this doubly attention-grabbing when you think about that he’s 31 and coming off his worst season as a professional. And I discover it triply attention-grabbing that Watt has by no means gained a playoff recreation with the Steelers, who could also be approaching a large organizational overhaul if coach Mike Tomlin can’t work out the quarterback place. Only a thought!

The Lions are at the moment third within the league in 2025 cap area and twenty eighth in 2026 cap area, per Roster Administration System. It is a results of the timing on the extensions for Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Penei Sewell and Alim McNeill. These 4 gamers hit the cap for $66.7 million this yr however $159.7 million subsequent yr.

Rolling over that 2025 cap area into 2026 will present some reduction, however not sufficient. An inevitable reset of some measurement is coming to the Lions subsequent offseason. A couple of huge contracts for older starters will probably be on the chopping block — LT Taylor Decker, C Frank Ragnow and RG Graham Glasgow are all candidates for restructuring or launch. It is a big season for coach Dan Campbell and common supervisor Brad Holmes, who constructed a perennial contender masterfully however do not but have a Tremendous Bowl look to point out for it. After this yr, the margins get manner, manner tighter.

Fifteen gamers have a cap hit of a minimum of $30 million this season. Unsurprisingly, 12 of the 15 are quarterbacks — together with the likes of Kirk Cousins, Tua Tagovailoa, Geno Smith and Deshaun Watson however excluding Patrick Mahomes. The remaining three are Maxx Crosby, T.J. Watt and — I will offer you 1,000 guesses — Taylor Moton. Take into account that two seasons in the past, there have been three gamers with $30 million-plus cap hits. That is a 5x enhance in simply two seasons!

You wish to get actually wild with it? The largest cap hit of the 2023 season for an energetic participant belonged to Mahomes at $37.1 million. That leapt to $49.1 million in 2024 (Kyler Murray) and $50.5 million in 2025 (Dak Prescott). The subsequent bounce is coming in 2026, when Watson hits the cap for $80.7 million. And even when Watson is reduce, as anticipated, Mahomes is correct there at $78.2 million.

We’ve by no means had a participant hit the cap for $55 million in a single season. Subsequent yr, we’re projected to have eight. Cap’s going up!

Six key numbers, stat version

It is like Subsequent Ben Stats, simply in the course of the offseason.

943 yards

Puka Nacua holds the report for many receiving yards in a rookie season with 1,486. But Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson holds the report for many receiving yards by way of two seasons of a participant’s profession (3,016), three seasons (4,825), 4 seasons (5,899) and 5 seasons (7,432). An absurd testomony to early-career success and availability.

For context, Jefferson is 261 yards above second place in 12 months 2, 662 above in 12 months 3, 387 above in 12 months 4 (regardless of lacking seven video games) and 648 above in 12 months 5. To catch him within the 12 months 5 numbers, Ja’Marr Chase wants a cool 2,008-yard season.

Jefferson is already seventh on the checklist for receiving yards by way of six seasons, and he has performed solely 5 seasons. He’ll take the highest spot with a mere 943 yards, which might take simply 10 video games on his profession common of 96.5 receiving yards per recreation (the perfect quantity in NFL historical past, so take your “17-game season” complaints and shove ’em).

1

That is what number of occasions a 30-plus-year-old working again has rushed for a minimum of 1,900 yards in an NFL season. It was … properly, it was final yr, when Derrick Henry rushed for 1,921 yards on solely 325 carries at 30 years outdated (5.9 yards per try is by far the perfect single-season mark of his profession). Henry regarded just like the Henry of outdated after his last two seasons in Tennessee tailed off statistically, and now he is on a brand new extension with a yr underneath his belt in Baltimore’s system.

The report for essentially the most dashing yards in an age-31 season belongs to Curtis Martin, who tallied 1,697 in 2004. So long as Henry retains strapping them on, we are able to count on him to problem the age milestones.

87%

That was the Commanders’ fourth-down conversion price final season. Learn that once more, as a result of it is simple to clean over and fail to understand: 87% conversion price. They went 20 for 23 on fourth down.

It is nearly actually the perfect fourth-down season in historical past. Two groups since 2000 have higher conversion charges (2016 Cowboys and 2018 Chargers), however with far fewer makes an attempt (9 and 10, respectively). By whole EPA added (44.3), this was essentially the most impactful fourth-down season this century. In actual fact, 23.7% of the Commanders’ whole factors got here on drives that included a profitable fourth-down conversion, which is the fifth-highest variety of the century.

These are important numbers for the 2025 season as a result of they scream regression. Whereas it is cheap to count on the Commanders to proceed going for it on fourth down and changing at a good price (a superb dashing quarterback is a giant a part of that), turning simply 5 conversions into failures would have a huge effect on their win column. I can truthfully say I’m excited for the 2025 season as a result of I wish to see how Washington performs on fourth down. (I do know, I am a sicko!)

Early have a look at the 2026 NFL draft

• Reid’s way-too-early mock draft• Prime prospects, QBs | Learn extra

12

That is what number of occasions Bucs receiver Mike Evans can have produced a 1,000-yard receiving season if he does it once more this yr. Bear in mind, it took an additional effort in Week 18 to get him to his eleventh straight season, essentially the most to ever begin a profession. Jerry Rice additionally had 11 straight 1,000-yard seasons from 1986 to 1996, although he did not have 1,000 yards in 12 months 1 like Evans did in 2014.

(Rice collected 14 whole 1,000-yard seasons over his profession, which is the report. Test again for my “100 issues to observe within the 2028 NFL season” in a number of years for an replace on Evans’ tempo versus the all-time nice.)

3

That is what number of receivers might go over 1,000 profession receptions this season. DeAndre Hopkins (984), Keenan Allen (974) and Davante Adams (957) are inside putting vary. It appears nearly inevitable that Hopkins, at the moment the WR3 in Baltimore, will get there — he must common lower than one catch per recreation — and Adams will definitely shag a minimum of 44 balls if he stays wholesome because the Rams’ WR2. Allen remains to be a free agent, however he ought to get 27 catches if and when he indicators with a workforce.

Solely 15 gamers have over 1,000 profession receptions, with Travis Kelce (2024) the latest qualifier at 1,004. Earlier than Kelce, we had not seen a participant clear the mark since Steve Smith Sr. did it in 2016. It has been a minute!

3

That is what number of gamers have strung collectively three straight seasons of 1,000 dashing yards — Derrick Henry (duh), Najee Harris and Tony Pollard. Pollard did it in hilarious style with 1,007, 1,005 and 1,079 yards, however I used to be impressed by his efficiency because the 1A again in Tennessee. The Titans’ offensive line might take one other leap ahead, with Dan Moore Jr. and Kevin Zeitler becoming a member of in free company and Lloyd Cushenberry III coming off IR. Cam Ward is the thrilling identify, however the working recreation is likely to be the story of the Titans’ offense, particularly early within the season.

10 key numbers, jersey version

A really exact science …

Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs is switching from 26 to 0, which I do not like. Sporting 0 is all the time cool, clearly. However do not repair what ain’t broke! You have been taking the league by storm in 26! I suppose you do not wish to battle Saquon Barkley for 26 dominance. However nonetheless, that is tempting destiny.

Lions WR Jameson Williams is switching from 9 to 1. That is nice, as a result of 9 was a quick quantity, however 1 can also be a quick quantity, so Williams will stay quick. Think about if he was sporting 22 or one thing.

On that observe, Packers rookie WR Matthew Golden is sporting … 22, which is appalling. He wore 2 at Texas.

Commanders CB Marshon Lattimore goes from 23, the quantity he has worn for eight years within the NFL, to 2, the quantity he wore in faculty. Scientists stay unsure if it will return Lattimore to his collegiate athleticism.

Jaguars linebacker Devin Lloyd is switching from 33 to 0. This is without doubt one of the greatest enhancements in jersey change historical past, and scientists are assured it should result in a lift in Lloyd’s play.

49ers WR Ricky Pearsall has modified his jersey quantity from 14 to 1, his faculty quantity. These are good vibes. The final 49er to put on No. 1 was Deebo Samuel Sr., the profession 49er who was simply traded to the Commanders. These are spooky vibes. Jury’s nonetheless out on this one.

Saints QB Spencer Rattler is now sporting 2, which provides him a leg up within the Saints QB competitors in opposition to rookie Tyler Shough, who’s sporting 6 (an inferior quarterbacking quantity). Have been Rattler nonetheless sporting 18, he’d have much less of a lead.

Falcons first-round rookie go rusher Jalon Walker is sporting 11, and different Falcons first-round rookie go rusher James Pearce Jr. is sporting 27. It will perplex and disorient your dad and mom on recreation day. We’ve misplaced the outdated methods.

Seahawks LB Uchenna Nwosu gave up his quantity 10 to extensive receiver Cooper Kupp in trade for a donation to his basis. Nwosu is now sporting 7, which is a high-value quantity. Numerous positions may need it in future jersey negotiations. I like the place Nwosu’s head’s at right here.

Giants rookie edge rusher Abdul Carter, after making an attempt to pry two retired numbers from Giants legends in 11 (Phil Simms) and 56 (Lawrence Taylor), landed on 51. That is a sick edge rusher quantity and may have been the plan within the first place. Cease unretiring numbers!

Three extra issues (so I can get to 100)

End the mission.

We began final season with loads of fearmongering in regards to the onset of two-high coverages and the decline of the explosive go. Perhaps we’ll do it once more this September; possibly we’ll do one thing else. The problem is just the abridged NFL offseason, which incorporates diminished observe time and declining preseason participation. September soccer is sloppy soccer, and that will not cease anytime quickly. Preserve your takes holstered till October.

Everybody is simply too afraid, so I will be the man to say it: The Chiefs have been 11-0 in one-score video games final season, they usually’re not going to tug that off once more. (Proper?) The defensive depth chart is fairly tough as properly. They are going to be worse in 2025. (Proper?!)

I do not know, I am out. The tank is dry. Saquon Barkley is sweet. There it’s — my last take. Thanks for enjoying.