Gabriel Bonfim and Randy Brown headline UFC Struggle Night time on November 9, 2025, on the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. This welterweight predominant occasion options two fighters at totally different levels of their careers, with Bonfim establishing himself as a rising contender whereas Brown seems to take care of his place within the division.
Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown Odds
Based mostly on the newest playing information numbers, Gabriel Bonfim is positioned because the betting favourite on this matchup. Historic odds patterns present Bonfim has persistently been favored in his latest UFC bouts, together with opening as a -400 favourite towards Stephen Thompson and shutting close to -450. Randy Brown’s latest betting historical past exhibits him as an underdog in a number of fights, together with his most up-to-date victory over Nicolas Dalby the place he opened at -200.
Bonfim lands 4.54 vital strikes per minute with 45% accuracy whereas absorbing 3.53 strikes per minute. His grappling statistics reveal his main path to victory – he averages 4.03 takedowns per quarter-hour and has demonstrated constant submission risk all through his profession.
Brown maintains a slight edge in hanging quantity, touchdown 4.47 vital strikes per minute with 47% accuracy. His hanging protection sits at 54%, and he exhibits improved takedown protection at 73%. Brown’s attain benefit of 78 inches in comparison with Bonfim’s 72.5 inches may show vital within the stand-up exchanges.
The small cage setting on the UFC Apex traditionally favors grapplers like Bonfim, because it reduces the house for Brown to make the most of his attain benefit and motion. Bonfim’s potential to press Brown towards the fence and provoke takedown sequences turns into extra pronounced within the confined house.
The age and expertise differential presents one other angle, with Brown’s veteran standing probably offering tactical benefits whereas his 35-year-old physique could also be extra inclined to the grinding grappling tempo that Bonfim sometimes imposes.
Gabriel Bonfim enters the octagon with an 18-1 skilled report and a 5-1 UFC mark. The 28-year-old Brazilian fighter has proven distinctive grappling abilities all through his profession, incomes 13 of his victories by submission. Bonfim’s solely skilled loss got here towards Nicolas Dalby through knockout in November 2023, however he bounced again with consecutive wins over Ange Loosa and Khaos Williams, adopted by a break up determination victory over Stephen Thompson in his most up-to-date outing.
This predominant occasion presents a number of betting avenues, from customary moneyline wagers to methodology of victory props and spherical totals, with the contrasting types creating worth alternatives throughout numerous markets for the November 9 card at UFC Apex.
