Snow is presently underway in southeastern Colorado and northern New Mexico, the results of a robust cutoff low that is stalling over and slamming moisture into the area.Listed below are our predictions for extra totals across the state between Thursday, November 7 and Sunday, November 10, 2024. Take into account it is a huge forecast window; lots can change in that point:COLORADO:Steamboat: 1-3″Winter Park: 5-9″Arapahoe Basin/Loveland: 5-10″Breckenridge/Copper: 2-6″Vail/Beaver Creek: 2-6″Aspen/Snowmass: 1-4″Crested Butte: 1-2″Telluride/Silverton: 1-3″Wolf Creek: 5-10″Cuchara: 20-30″NEW MEXICO:Taos: 12-24″Angel Fireplace: 12-24″Ski Santa Fe: 8-16″Sipapu: 10-18″Parajito: 6-12″
Let’s check out the stay radar within the area to grasp how this storm is shaping up.
As you’ll be able to see, many of the precipitation is relegated to the plains and stays too far east to convey main snowfall to the mountains in the meanwhile.This is the forecasted radar for the remainder of Thursday into Thursday night time. Discover common winds from the southeast, that are uncommon for CO. The overall concept is bands of average precip streaming into the mountains, whereas most of it stays over the plains. A slight recession in precip beginning between 8-10pm tonight, as properly:
However that recession will not final lengthy. Fashions are indicating a brand new surge of precipitation transferring in early Friday morning, which can penetrate deeper into the mountains to the west and likewise unfold a lot additional north into the Entrance Vary. Precipitation from this wave will final into Saturday afternoon/night. The heaviest snowfall charges will nonetheless be over the plains to the east of the mountains, however mountainous areas will nonetheless see first rate snowfall charges at instances:
By way of totals, try the ECMWF (left) and GFS (proper) forecasts under. Wildly totally different totals. The ECMWF likes snowfall additional into the mountains to the west, whereas the GFS retains issues relegated extra within the plains. These maps are assuming a snow-liquid-ratio of 10:1, however with temperatures within the twenties at mid-mountain elevations, these totals are possible slight underestimations:
Wanting forward, Colorado’s subsequent storm window is someplace round Tuesday night time/Wednesday of subsequent week. We’ve got shockingly good mannequin settlement on how a lot snow that storm will convey, however be mindful issues can and most definitely will change earlier than then. This is the ECMWF and GFS forecasts agreeing on fairly gentle accumulations with the best totals within the northwest mountains:
Different areas shall be getting motion earlier than then, with our subsequent storm kicking off within the PNW on Sunday night time. Under is the whole snowfall forecast from the ECMWF ensemble, exhibiting very average accumulations just about in all places, favoring the northern tier of mountains (WA, ID, MT/WY). Washington ought to do notably properly.
A second storm shall be following proper on its heels, possible with out a lot of a spot in any respect within the PNW, arriving within the PNW someday on Wednesday and sliding into the remainder of the west by way of the remainder of the week into. This storm seems to be prefer it’ll maintain issues additional north in WA, OR, ID, MT, and WY, however gentle to average accumulations are nonetheless doable for CA, UT, and CO; do not rule them out but, there’s loads of time for issues to alter! Keep tuned for an up to date forecast with new particulars as that system will get nearer.
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