Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's NBA Playoffs Game 4

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After surviving a dramatic double-overtime battle in Recreation 1, the San Antonio Spurs have dropped back-to-back contests and now face a 2-1 collection deficit coming into Recreation 4.

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Depth and fatigue might show pivotal in Recreation 4, and my Thunder vs. Spurs predictions and NBA picks anticipate the visiting staff to earn a 3rd straight victory.

Thunder vs Spurs Recreation 4 prediction

Who will win Thunder vs Spurs Recreation 4?

Thunder: Via 11 playoff video games, the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder lead the Affiliation in bench minutes at 101.1, accounting for 41.3% of the staff’s enjoying time. Via 14 video games, the San Antonio Spurs’ bench has accounted for simply 32.8% of staff minutes. The Spurs’ bench merely doesn’t have the depth to compete, and backup large man Luke Kornet has been a dreadful -37 when on the court docket, resulting in benefits for a Thunder rotation that may swap Kornet onto smaller gamers and reap the benefits of exterior capturing. The Thunder are deeper and well-rested, and the scariest half is that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander hasn’t scored greater than 30 factors in a sport but this collection.

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Thunder vs Spurs finest wager: Thunder moneyline (+110)

The disparity in bench numbers has been jarring, because the Thunder have gotten 61 factors and 121.6 minutes per sport from their reserves, in comparison with simply 21.3 factors and 60.4 minutes for the Spurs.

Victor Wembanyama has averaged 41.7 minutes, and giving him a break isn’t viable. The Spurs are +21 with him on the ground and -38 when he’s on the bench.

With Dylan Harper and De’Aaron Fox nursing accidents, and Wemby compelled into large minutes, fatigue can be important. I priced this line at -140, so I’m thrilled to get it early at +110.

COVERS INTEL:

The Thunder’s 76 bench factors in Recreation 3 are the most in a Convention Finals or NBA Finals sport since 1971. Oklahoma Metropolis’s bench outscored San Antonio’s by 53 within the win.

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Thunder vs Spurs Recreation 4 same-game parlay

OKC’s protection compelled Wembanyama exterior the paint in Video games 2 and three. He tried 25 pictures and two three-pointers in Recreation 1 however mixed for 31 pictures and 12 triples over his final two. The Spurs want to regulate and get him extra paint touches to make the most of his measurement and create kickout alternatives. This can be a robust worth play at plus-money.

A part of San Antonio’s adjustment must be extra bench minutes. Keldon Johnson scored 20.4 factors per 36 minutes whereas capturing 36.3% from past the arc this season. I’ll wager this one as much as 9.5.

Thunder vs Spurs SGP

Our “from downtown” SGP: Bench mob!

The Spurs have gotten torched from past the arc on this collection. San Antonio has given up 15.7 triples on 39.5% capturing. Most regarding is that 12.7 of the Thunder’s 15.7 makes have been “extensive open,” with defenders greater than six toes away.

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All of Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, and Cason Wallace have knocked down 2+ triples in no less than two straight video games. The trio are already key reserves, however they may profit farther from Jalen Williams’ damage by taking up elevated shot quantity.

Thunder vs Spurs SGP

Thunder vs Spurs odds for Recreation 4

Thunder vs Spurs betting development to know

The Thunder have cashed the moneyline in 25 of their final 30 video games for +16.40 models and a 8% ROI. Discover extra NBA betting tendencies for Thunder vs. Spurs.

How one can watch Thunder vs Spurs Recreation 4

Thunder vs Spurs newest accidents

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